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. 2007 May 9:157–171. doi: 10.1016/B978-012088483-4/50011-1

TABLE 8.3.

Epidemiologic clues that may signal a biologic or chemical terrorist attack

  • 1.

    Single case of disease caused by an uncommon agent (e.g., glanders, smallpox, viral hemorrhagic fever, inhalation or cutaneous anthrax) without adequate epidemiologic explanation

  • 2.

    Unusual, atypical, genetically engineered, or antiquated strain of an agent (or antibiotic-resistance pattern)

  • 3.

    Higher morbidity and mortality in association with a common disease or syndrome or failure of such patients to respond to usual therapy

  • 4.

    Unusual disease presentation (e.g., inhalation anthrax or pneumonic plague)

  • 5.

    Disease with an unusual geographic or seasonal distribution (e.g., plague in a nonendemic area, influenza in the summer)

  • 6.

    Stable endemic disease with an unexplained increase in incidence (e.g., tularemia, plague)

  • 7.

    Atypical disease transmission through aerosols, food, or water, in a mode suggesting sabotage (i.e., no other possible physical explanation)

  • 8.

    No illness in persons who are not exposed to common ventilation systems (have separate closed ventilation systems) when illness is seen in persons in close proximity who have a common ventilation system

  • 9.

    Several unusual or unexplained diseases coexisting in the same patient without any other explanation

  • 10.

    Unusual illness that affects a large, disparate population (e.g., respiratory disease in a large heterogeneous population may suggest exposure to an inhaled pathogen or chemical agent)

  • 11.

    Illness that is unusual (or atypical) for a given population or age group (e.g., outbreak of measles-like rash in adults)

  • 12.

    Unusual pattern of death or illness among animals (which may be unexplained or attributed to an agent of bioterrorism) that precedes or accompanies illness or death in humans

  • 13.

    Unusual pattern of death or illness in humans that precedes or accompanies illness or death in animals (which may be unexplained or attributed to an agent of bioterrorism)

  • 14.

    Ill persons who seek treatment at about the same time (point source with compressed epidemic curve)

  • 15.

    Similar genetic type among agents isolated from temporally or spatially distinct sources

  • 16.

    Simultaneous clusters of similar illness in noncontiguous areas, domestic or foreign

  • 17.

    Large numbers of cases of unexplained diseases or deaths

(modified from ref. 17)