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. 2019 Dec 30;7(1):5. doi: 10.3390/vetsci7010005

Table 4.

Results of a sensitivity analysis performed on a compartmental model of African Swine Fever (ASF) in wild boars, following the method of Keeling and Gilligan [7]. Sensitivity values refer to the variation in the time necessary to first detect the disease, corresponding to a 10% variation in each parameter value.

Parameter Passive Active (ASFV Positive) Active (Ab Positive)
Force of infection (λ) 0.22 0.86 0.86
Lethality (γ) 0.24 −0.06 −0.04
Hunting effort (ε) −0.06 0.30 0.30
Recovery rate (θ) 0.00 0.00 0.40
% found carcasses (ϕ) 1.00 0.00 0.00