Figure 3.

Map displaying results of the validation model. The validation model was created to assess the predictive capabilities of an Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) risk model to assign risk values to Caribbean islands representative of their likelihood of unrecognized bat-associated transmission of rabies virus (UBAT-RV). In the validation model, all RFs within the geospatial calculation signifying “having bat rabies” were removed from islands in which bat rabies has been detected. The validation model results determined that there was higher risk of enzootic rabies virus transmission in bats on islands that have documented laboratory confirmed rabid bats, signifying the predictive capabilities of an AHP risk model. Areas of high risk are symbolized by red and orange, and lower risk is symbolized yellow.