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. 2020 Apr 15;49(Suppl 1):i26–i37. doi: 10.1093/ije/dyz181

Table 1.

Posterior mean and 95% credible intervals for the competing models in the simulation study. We compared the detection performance of disease mapping (DM1, DM2), the mixture model on the spatiotemporal interaction (STmix1, STmix2) and the mixture model on the spatiotemporal rates (FlexDetect)

FDR FOR Sensitivity Specificity
DM1 0.785 0.002 0.979 0.722
(0.773, 0.800) (0.000, 0.006) (0.933, 1.000) (0.695, 0.744)
DM2 0.191 0.026 0.660 0.987
(0.100, 0.267) (0.020, 0.030) (0.600, 0.733) (0.981, 0.995)
STmix1 0.000 0.017 0.773 1.000
(0.000, 0.000) (0.010, 0.024) (0.683, 0.867) (1.000, 1.000)
STmix2 0.220 0.002 0.969 0.978
(0.167, 0.300) (0.000, 0.005) (0.933, 1.000) (0.969, 0.985)
FlexDetect 0.019 0.005 0.796 1.000
(0.015, 0.031) (0.004, 0.006) (0.763, 0.827) (0.999, 1.000)