Table 1.

Data from February 23 until March 15, 2020. Left panel: number of 2019-nCov positive subjects, number of hospital admissions and ICU admissions, number of deaths, and recovery. Right panel: predicted mean value calculated using non- linear regression. R² describes the goodness of fit, where 1 indicates a complete fit.

Day	Number of patients					Predicted number
	2019-nCov positive	Hospital admission	ICU Admission	Death	Recovery	2019-nCov positive	Hospital admission	ICU Admission	Death	Recovery
1	132	54	26	5	0	39	51	28	0	17
2	229	101	27	6	1	224	89	27	8	0
3	322	114	35	10	1	386	125	31	12	−7
4	400	128	36	12	3	541	169	39	15	−4
5	650	248	56	12	45	705	228	52	17	9
6	888	345	64	21	46	892	312	72	20	32
7	1049	401	105	29	50	1118	427	99	25	64
8	1694	639	140	34	83	1399	583	133	35	106
9	1835	742	166	52	149	1750	787	177	50	159
10	2263	1034	229	79	160	2187	1048	229	73	220
11	2706	1346	295	107	276	2725	1374	292	104	292
12	3296	1790	351	148	414	3380	1774	366	145	373
13	3916	2394	462	197	523	4168	2255	452	198	464
14	5061	2651	567	233	589	5103	2826	550	264	564
15	6378	3557	650	366	622	6202	3496	662	345	674
16	7985	4316	733	463	733	7.495	4.151	757	474	773
17	8514	5038	877	631	1004	9.026	4.878	881	627	940
18	10590	5838	1028	827	1045	10789	5.675	1017	811	1134
19	12839	6650	1153	1016	1258	12802	6.543	1165	1031	1357
20	14995	7246	1328	1266	1439	15084	7.484	1326	1288	1610
21	17750	8372	1518	1441	1966	17653	8.500	1498	1586	1897
22	20603	9663	1672	2063	2335	20528	9.593	1684	1929	2218
R2						0.999	0.998	0.999	0.993	0.988
p						0.001	0.001	0.001	0.001	0.001