Table IV.
Modeling Assumptions
Categories | Our Assumptions | Possible Alternative Assumptions |
---|---|---|
Uncertain Variables | Probability of acquiring the agent, detection time varies by agent | Other indications and warning |
Decisions | Add Bio Watch city for agents A and B | Additional detection and warning systems |
Increase vaccine reserve stocks for agent A | Increase stocks of multiple agents | |
Deploy vaccine A | Other risk mitigation decisions | |
Consequence Models | One casualty model for all three agents | Different casualty models for different agents |
Risks | Casualties and economic consequences | Additional risk measures |
Defender minimizes risk and attacker maximizes risk | Other defender and attacker objectives | |
Solve decision tree at various budget levels | Other solution approaches |