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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2020 Apr 16.
Published in final edited form as: J Am Geriatr Soc. 2020 Jan 25;68(3):505–510. doi: 10.1111/jgs.16344

Table 2.

Risk factor analysis of mortality within 12 months. Adjusted for calendar year.

Basic Statistics Univariate Model RR Multivariate Model RR
Characteristic Observed N=37748 Subject Deaths n=10700 P RR & 95% CI P Global P RR & 95% CI P Global P
Type of surgery/procedure
 Gastrectomy 9791 (25.9) 2689 (27.5) <.0001 Ref. <.0001 Ref. <.0001
 Cystectomy 14294 (37.9) 3723 (26.0) 0.95 (0.91 – 0.99) 0.0143 1.15 (1.10 – 1.20) <.0001
 Pancreaticoduodenectomy 10845 (28.7) 3546 (32.7) 1.19 (1.14 – 1.24) <.0001 1.25 (1.20 – 1.30) <.0001
 Esophagectomy 2818 (7.5) 742 (26.3) 0.96 (0.89 – 1.03) 0.2357 0.96 (0.89 – 1.03) 0.2136
Age (years)
 65–69 11448 (30.3) 2725 (23.8) <.0001 Ref. <.0001 Ref. <.0001
 70–74 8304 (22.0) 2162 (26.0) 1.09 (1.04 – 1.15) 0.0003 1.05 (1.00 – 1.10) 0.0500
 75–79 9133 (24.2) 2648 (29.0) 1.22 (1.16 – 1.28) <.0001 1.11 (1.06 – 1.16) <.0001
 80–84 6035 (16.0) 2041 (33.8) 1.42 (1.35 – 1.49) <.0001 1.20 (1.14 – 1.26) <.0001
 ≥85 2828 (7.5) 1124 (39.7) 1.67 (1.58 – 1.77) <.0001 1.31 (1.24 – 1.39) <.0001
Gender
 Male 25021 (66.3) 7067 (28.2) 0.5391 Ref. 0.5396 Ref. <.0001
 Female 12727 (33.7) 3633 (28.5) 1.01 (0.98 – 1.05) 0.5389 0.91 (0.88 – 0.94) <.0001
Race
 White 31778 (84.2) 8996 (28.3) <.0001 Ref. <.0001 Ref. <.0001
 Black 3314 (8.8) 1066 (32.2) 1.14 (1.08 – 1.20) <.0001 1.07 (1.02 – 1.13) 0.0063
 Other 2656 (7.0) 638 (24.0) 0.85 (0.79 – 0.91) <.0001 0.88 (0.82 – 0.94) 0.0002
Charlson Comorbidity Index Score
 0 to 1 17525 (46.4) 3905 (22.3) <.0001 Ref. <.0001 Ref. <.0001
 2 to 3 17831 (47.2) 5752 (32.3) 1.45 (1.40 – 1.50) <.0001 1.36 (1.31 – 1.41) <.0001
 >4 2392 (6.3) 1043 (43.6) 1.96 (1.86 – 2.06) <.0001 1.59 (1.50 – 1.68) <.0001
Hospital length of stay (days)
 1–6 7619 (20.2) 1494 (19.6) <.0001 Ref. <.0001 Ref. <.0001
 7–8 9458 (25.1) 2073 (21.9) 1.12 (1.05 – 1.19) 0.0002 1.06 (1.00 – 1.12) 0.0565
 9–13 10360 (27.4) 2853 (27.5) 1.40 (1.33 – 1.48) <.0001 1.24 (1.17 – 1.31) <.0001
 ≥14 10311 (27.3) 4280 (41.5) 2.12 (2.01 – 2.23) <.0001 1.57 (1.49 – 1.65) <.0001
Discharge disposition
 Home (no assistance) 28166 (74.6) 6157 (21.9) <.0001 Ref. <.0001 Ref. <.0001
 Facility (SNF, Hospice, Inpatient) 9582 (25.4) 4543 (47.4) 2.17 (2.10 – 2.24) <.0001 1.77 (1.71 – 1.83) <.0001