Table.

Estimated deaths by age group if 1 million people in the UK population are infected with SARS-CoV-2

	Proportion of UK population (%)	Infection fatality ratio (%)	Number of deaths if 1 million population infected	Proportion of deaths	Proportion of deaths if over 70s successfully cocooned
0–9	12%	0·00161%	2	<1%	<1%
10–19	11%	0·00695%	8	<1%	<1%
20–29	13%	0·0309%	41	<1%	1%
30–39	13%	0·0844%	112	1%	3%
40–49	13%	0·161%	206	2%	6%
50–59	13%	0·595%	803	8%	25%
60–69	11%	1·93%	2054	19%	64%
70–79	8%	4·28%	3535	33%	..
80+	5%	7·80%	3853	36%	..

Age group given in years. Infection fatality rates from Verity et al,² and the population structure of the UK in 2018 from the Office for National Statistics.³ SARS-CoV-2=severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2.