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. 2020 Apr 17;95:288–293. doi: 10.1016/j.ijid.2020.03.018

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© 2020 The Author(s)

Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.

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Fig. 5 — Goodness of fit (black curve) and variation in cumulative number of reported cases, cumulative number of death cases, cumulative quarantined cases and cumulative suspected cases with the minimum contact rate ( $c_{b}$ ), detection rate (b) and the confirmation ratio (f).