Table 3.

Transition probabilities for low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-c) categories between measurement pairs.

LDL-c category at first measurementa	LDL-c category at next measurement, transition probabilityb
	On target	<0.5 mmol/L	0.5-0.9 mmol/L	1.0-1.4 mmol/L	1.5-1.9 mmol/L	>2.0 mmol/L
On target	0.84	0.10	0.03	0.01	0.01	0.01
<0.5 mmol/L	0.30	0.52	0.12	0.04	0.02	0.01
0.5-0.9 mmol/L	0.23	0.19	0.43	0.09	0.03	0.02
1.0-1.4 mmol/L	0.20	0.12	0.16	0.39	0.08	0.05
1.5-1.9 mmol/L	0.19	0.13	0.11	0.12	0.36	0.10
>2.0 mmol/L	0.15	0.13	0.09	0.10	0.09	0.43

^aThe first measurement can be the first in a sequence as a whole or the first of a pair of measurements (eg, from the fourth to the fifth measurement).

^bThe transition probability is the probability a patient will be in one of the LDL-c categories at next measurement given the last measurement, which is the first of the pair.