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. 2020 Apr 17;18:95. doi: 10.1186/s12916-020-01548-3

Table 3.

Diagnostic test statistics of the study cohort showing the accuracy and missed cancer rates for each phi threshold as a triage test pre-MRI and biopsy. PSAd thresholds are shown as a comparator though this metric is not usually available before an mpMRI. Detection rates for cancer are shown using definitions of ≥ Grade Group 2 (GG2) or ≥ Cambridge Prognostic Group 3 [CPG3]. (*percentage out of 258 cancers detected, ** percentage out of 176 cancers detected)

≥ GG2 cancer detection ≥ CPG3 cancer detection
Threshold Sensitivity Specificity NPV % cancers missed* Sensitivity Specificity NPV % cancers missed**
phi 20 0.99 0.10 0.90 1.1 1.00 0.08 1.00 0
25 0.96 0.25 0.87 4.2 0.99 0.22 0.99 0.05
30 0.92 0.40 0.85 7.7 0.95 0.35 0.94 1.0
35 0.87 0.55 0.83 12.8 0.93 0.49 0.93 7.3
PSAd 0.10 0.93 0.31 0.82 7.3 0.97 0.28 0.95 2.8
0.15 0.81 0.57 0.77 18.6 0.90 0.53 0.92 9.6
0.20 0.69 0.77 0.73 31.3 0.80 0.72 0.88 20.0