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. 2020 Mar 6;368(6489):395–400. doi: 10.1126/science.aba9757

Fig. 4. Combined effects of travel and transmissibility reductions on the epidemic.

Fig. 4

(A) Median total number of imported infections from mainland China with no transmissibility reduction and travel reductions of 40 and 90%. (B) Same as (A) for the moderate transmissibility reduction scenario (r = 0.75). (C) Same as (A) for the strong transmissibility reduction scenario (r = 0.5). Shaded areas represent 90% CIs. (D) Disease incidence in mainland China, excluding Wuhan, for the scenarios plotted in (A) to (C).