Table 1. Best-fit model posterior estimates of key epidemiological parameters for simulation with the full metapopulation model during 10–23 January 2020.
Seedmax = 2000, Td = 9 days.
Parameter | Median (95% CIs) |
Transmission rate (β, days−1) | 1.12 (1.06, 1.19) |
Relative transmission rate (μ) | 0.55 (0.46, 0.62) |
Latency period (Z, days) | 3.69 (3.30, 3.96) |
Infectious period (D, days) | 3.47 (3.15, 3.73) |
Reporting rate (α) | 0.14 (0.10, 0.18) |
Basic reproductive number (Re) | 2.38 (2.03, 2.77) |
Mobility factor (θ) | 1.36 (1.27, 1.45) |