Table 2.
Predictive validity analyses: BRFSS volume and binge drinking, before and after adjusting for Per Capita Consumption (PCC), predicting log-transformed total unintentional mortality rate (in 100,000) in 50 states and DC from 1999–2016, N=9181
| BRFSS volume adjusted for methodologic changes (single-adjusted) |
BRFSS volume adjusted for methodologic changes and PCC (double-adjusted) |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coef | 95% CIs | Coef | CIs | |
| Total | ||||
| Drinks per day | −0.18 | (−0.31, −0.04) * | 0.20 | (0.10, 0.31) *** |
| Binge days per week | 0.01 | (−0.26, 0.27) | 0.21 | (0.09, 0.34) *** |
| Men total | ||||
| Drinks per day | −0.04 | (−0.12, 0.05) | 0.11 | (0.05, 0.17) *** |
| Binge days per week | 0.09 | (−0.07, 0.25) | 0.13 | (0.06, 0.20) *** |
| Women total | ||||
| Drinks per day | −0.15 | (−0.39, 0.09) | 0.11 | (0.01, 0.20) * |
| Binge days per week | 0.34 | (−0.09, 0.78) | 0.24 | (0.08, 0.40) ** |
| 20–34, all genders | ||||
| Drinks per day | −0.01 | (−0.10, 0.08) | 0.02 | (−0.03, 0.07) |
| Binge days per week | 0.001 | (−0.16, 0.16) | 0.05 | (−0.02, 0.12) |
| 35–54, all genders | ||||
| Drinks per day | −0.04 | (−0.23, 0.16) | 0.08 | (0.01, 0.15) * |
| Binge days per week | 0.24 | (−0.10, 0.58) | 0.17 | (0.05, 0.28) ** |
| 55–74, all genders | ||||
| Drinks per day | 0.00 | (−0.17, 0.18) | 0.02 | (−0.04, 0.08) |
| Binge days per week | 0.13 | (−0.20, 0.47) | 0.04 | (−0.07, 0.16) |
| Men, 20–34 | ||||
| Drinks per day | −0.01 | (−0.06, 0.04) | 0.01 | (−0.02, 0.03) |
| Binge days per week | 0.003 | (−0.09, 0.09) | 0.02 | (−0.02, 0.06) |
| Men, 35–54 | ||||
| Drinks per day | −0.01 | (−0.12, 0.10) | 0.04 | (0.00, 0.08)ƚ |
| Binge days per week | 0.17 | (−0.03, 0.37) | 0.10 | (0.03, 0.17) ** |
| Men, 55–74 | ||||
| Drinks per day | 0.03 | (−0.08, 0.15) | 0.02 | (−0.02, 0.06) |
| Binge days per week | 0.08 | (−0.11, 0.28) | 0.03 | (−0.04, 0.09) |
| Women, 20–34 | ||||
| Drinks per day | 0.07 | (−0.15, 0.29) | 0.05 | (−0.04, 0.13) |
| Binge days per week | 0.15 | (−0.19, 0.49) | 0.09 | (−0.05, 0.22) |
| Women, 35–54 | ||||
| Drinks per day | −0.27 | (−0.62, 0.07) | −0.04 | (−0.16, 0.08) |
| Binge days per week | −0.42 | (−0.98, 0.14) | −0.11 | (−0.30, 0.09) |
| Women, 55–74 | ||||
| Drinks per day | −0.14 | (−0.50, 0.22) | −0.03 | (−0.15, 0.10) |
| Binge days per week | 0.33 | (−0.38, 1.05) | 0.07 | (−0.18, 0.31) |
1
All models control for year fixed effects and BRFSS demographic measures in Table 1
ƚ
p<0.01
*
p<0.05
**
p<0.01
***
p<0.001
Coef = Coefficient estimates, CIs = Confidence Intervals
Double-adjusted = adjusted for both BRFSS methodologic changes and per capita consumption