Table A.2:
Climate impacts on migration rates by individual, household, and geographic attributes
Dependent variable: Migrate |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Stratification: | ||||||||
(1) | (2) | |||||||
Gender |
Age |
|||||||
Urban |
Rural |
Urban |
Rural |
|||||
Male | Female | Male | Female | Old | Young | Old | Young | |
Temperature | 0.034** (0.013) |
0.019 (0.012) |
−0.000 (0.013) |
−0.002 (0.015) |
0.001 (0.015) |
0.037*** (0.013) |
−0.011 (0.014) |
0.006 (0.013) |
Temperature2 | −0.030** (0.012) |
−0.010 (0.010) |
0.019 (0.012) |
0.016 (0.014) |
0.004 (0.009) |
−0.030** (0.012) |
0.018 (0.016) |
0.017 (0.012) |
Rainfall | 0.006 (0.015) |
0.006 (0.013) |
−0.018 (0.012) |
−0.025* (0.014) |
0.015 (0.015) |
0.000 (0.015) |
−0.014 (0.014) |
−0.026** (0.013) |
Rainfall2 | −0.020** (0.008) |
−0.014** (0.007) |
0.009 (0.009) |
0.012 (0.008) |
−0.017*** (0.006) |
−0.016** (0.007) |
0.012 (0.011) |
0.010 (0.008) |
Rain. × Temp. | −0.027* (0.015) |
−0.021 (0.014) |
0.031 (0.019) |
0.035* (0.020) |
−0.019 (0.013) |
−0.024 (0.015) |
0.026 (0.025) |
0.038** (0.018) |
F test: climate parameters = 0 ( p values) | ||||||||
Temperature | 0.025 | 0.267 | 0.116 | 0.168 | 0.735 | 0.018 | 0.542 | 0.010 |
Rainfall | 0.046 | 0.096 | 0.328 | 0.152 | 0.019 | 0.090 | 0.469 | 0.121 |
F test: climate parameters equal across stratification (p values) | ||||||||
Temperature | 0.065 | 0.813 | 0.025 | 0.074 | ||||
Rainfall | 0.812 | 0.783 | 0.790 | 0.528 | ||||
R2 | 0.012 | 0.013 | ||||||
N | 55,277 | 55,277 |
Note: Migration outcome defined by whether an individual moved for at least 1 month in the last year. Parameter estimates with standard errors in parentheses clustered by baseline enumeration area. Observations are person-years. Includes individual and year fixed effects. Models (1) and (2) interact independent variables with gender and age dummies. Temperature and rainfall are z-scores of previous 24-months, and both sample and attrition weights applied.
p < 0.1
p < 0.05
p < 0.01.