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. 2020 Mar 25;5(3):e002063. doi: 10.1136/bmjgh-2019-002063

Table 2.

Estimates of the global burden of CKD attributable to PM2.5 air pollution

Modelling strategy PAF
(95% UI)
Measure Incidence
(95% UI)
Prevalence
(95% UI)
DALY
(95% UI)
Death
(95% UI)
CS studies deweighted Proxy exposures included
Yes No 19.5
(18.0 to 21.0)
Number 3 284 358.2
(2 800 710.5 to 3 747 046.1)
122 409 460.2
(108 142 312.2 to 136 424 137.9)
6 593 134.6
(5 705 180.4 to 7 436 870.1)
211 019.2
(184 292.5 to 236 520.4)
Rate (per 100 000) 44.5
(37.9 to 50.7)
1670.3
(1475.9 to 1861.4)
89.9
(77.8 to 101.3)
2.9
(2.5 to 3.2)
Age-standardised rate (per 100 000) 49.7
(42.7 to 56.4)
1789.6
(1585.0 to 1989.2)
101.6
(87.6 to 115.0)
3.8
(3.2 to 4.3)
No No 17.4
(15.7 to 19.1)
Number 2 908 401.2
(2 482 793.5 to 3 378 084.4)
108 679 458.9
(94 881 700.2 to 123 149 917.2)
5 873 622.6 (5 084 600.9 to 6 754 641.3) 187 211.2 (162 460.3 to 213 963.4)
Rate (per 100 000) 39.4
(33.7 to 45.8)
1484.6
(1296.6 to 1682.2)
80.1
(69.4 to 92.1)
2.5
(2.2 to 2.9)
Age-standardised rate (per 100 000) 44.3
(38.0 to 51.2)
1597.3
(1399.1 to 1806.3)
90.8
(78.2 to 104.7)
3.4
(2.9 to 3.9)
Yes Yes 6.6
(5.1 to 8.2)
Number 1 089 779.3
(800 761.9 to 1 402 860.4)
41 023 348.8
(30 636 668.8 to 52 184 444.4)
2 223 125.6
(1 652 353.6 to 2 838 639.8)
70 358.4
(52 199.0 to 89 917.9)
Rate (per 100 000) 14.8
(10.9 to 19.1)
561.6
(420.2 to 713.6)
30.4
(22.6 to 38.8)
1.0
(0.7 to 1.2)
Age-standardised rate (per 100 000) 16.8
(12.5 to 21.5)
607.9
(457.6 to 767.8)
34.6
(25.8 to 44.0)
1.3
(1.0 to 1.6)
No Yes 6.2
(4.7 to 7.8)
Number 1 024 163.8
(744 761.8 to 1 325 643.8)
38 602 132.4
(28 647 072.0 to 49 027 426.1)
2 093 387.4
(1 545 110.3 to 2 673 053.9)
66 159.4
(48 752.8 to 84 245.3)
Rate (per 100 000) 13.9
(10.1 to 18.0)
528.7
(393.1 to 671.3)
28.6
(21.2 to 36.5)
0.9
(0.7 to 1.2)
Age-standardised rate (per 100 000) 15.9
(11.7 to 20.4)
573.0
(429.2 to 725.6)
32.6
(24.1 to 41.7)
1.2
(0.9 to 1.5)

Rates are per 100 000 persons

CKD, chronic kidney disease; CS, cross-sectional; DALY, disability-adjusted life-year; PAF, population attributable fraction; PM2.5, ambient fine particulate matter; UI, uncertainty interval.