Table.
Estimates of the epidemic growth rate and doubling time before Jan 23, 2020, with or without adjustment for changes in case definitions
Wuhan | Hubei province excluding Wuhan | China excluding Hubei province | |
---|---|---|---|
Growth rate, per day | |||
With adjustment for changes in case definitions | 0·08 (0·06–0·10) | 0·10 (0·08–0·12) | 0·10 (0·08–0·12) |
Without adjustment | 0·15 (0·14–0·17) | 0·18 (0·13–0·28) | 0·19 (0·16–0·24) |
Doubling time, days | |||
With adjustment for changes in case definitions | 8·7 (7·3–10·8) | 7·0 (5·8–8·8) | 7·0 (5·8–8·7) |
Without adjustment | 4·5 (4·1–4·8) | 3·9 (2·4–5·3) | 3·6 (2·9–4·3) |
Data are growth rates and doubling times with 95% credible intervals.