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. 2020 Apr 21;5(5):e289–e296. doi: 10.1016/S2468-2667(20)30089-X

Table.

Estimates of the epidemic growth rate and doubling time before Jan 23, 2020, with or without adjustment for changes in case definitions

Wuhan Hubei province excluding Wuhan China excluding Hubei province
Growth rate, per day
With adjustment for changes in case definitions 0·08 (0·06–0·10) 0·10 (0·08–0·12) 0·10 (0·08–0·12)
Without adjustment 0·15 (0·14–0·17) 0·18 (0·13–0·28) 0·19 (0·16–0·24)
Doubling time, days
With adjustment for changes in case definitions 8·7 (7·3–10·8) 7·0 (5·8–8·8) 7·0 (5·8–8·7)
Without adjustment 4·5 (4·1–4·8) 3·9 (2·4–5·3) 3·6 (2·9–4·3)

Data are growth rates and doubling times with 95% credible intervals.