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. 2020 Apr 21;10:6762. doi: 10.1038/s41598-020-63878-9

Table 3.

Incidence and risk of atrial fibrillation according to the hemoglobin concentrations in each sex.

Hb Groups AF cases Person-years AF incidence* Model 1 HR (95% CI) Model 2 HR (95% CI) Model 3 HR (95% CI) Model 4 HR (95% CI) Model 5 HR (95% CI)
Male
<12 4,558 473,386 9.63 2.75 (2.67–2.84) 1.31 (1.27–1.35) 1.39 (1.34–1.43) 1.34 (1.30–1.38) 1.24 (1.20–1.28)
12–12.9 8,235 1,208,864 6.81 1.94 (1.89–1.98) 1.10 (1.07–1.13) 1.14 (1.11–1.17) 1.12 (1.09–1.14) 1.08 (1.05–1.11)
13–13.9 19,853 4,224,888 4.70 1.33 (1.31–1.36) 1.02 (1.00–1.04) 1.04 (1.02–1.06) 1.03 (1.01–1.05) 1.02 (1.00–1.04)§
14–14.9 30,593 8,678,822 3.53 1.00 (reference) 1.00 (reference) 1.00 (reference) 1.00 (reference) 1.00 (reference)
15–15.9 26,872 8,740,244 3.07 0.87 (0.86–0.89) 1.05 (1.04–1.07) 1.03 (1.02–1.05) 1.04 (1.02–1.05) 1.04 (1.03–1.06)
≥16 16,211 4,892,803 3.31 0.94 (0.92–0.96) 1.27 (1.24–1.29) 1.21 (1.19–1.24) 1.21 (1.19–1.24) 1.22 (1.20–1.25)
Female
<11 4,654 1,464,439 3.18 1.15 (1.11–1.19) 1.18 (1.14–1.21) 1.22 (1.18–1.26) 1.19 (1.16–1.23) 1.12 (1.09–1.16)
11–11.9 11,057 3,353,110 3.30 1.19 (1.16–1.22) 1.06 (1.03–1.08) 1.08 (1.05–1.10) 1.06 (1.04–1.09) 1.04 (1.02–1.07)
12–12.9 26,177 9,442,045 2.77 1.00 (reference) 1.00 (reference) 1.00 (reference) 1.00 (reference) 1.00 (reference)
13–13.9 25,652 9,867,829 2.60 0.94 (0.92–0.96) 1.01 (0.99–1.03)§ 0.99 (0.97–1.01)§ 0.99 (0.97–1.01)§ 1.00 (0.99–1.02)§
14–14.9 10,842 3,799,451 2.85 1.03 (1.01–1.05) 1.10 (1.08–1.13) 1.06 (1.03–1.08) 1.05 (1.03–1.07) 1.06 (1.04–1.09)
≥15 2,498 639,550 3.91 1.41 (1.36–1.47) 1.41 (1.35–1.46) 1.31 (1.26–1.37) 1.28 (1.23–1.34) 1.29 (1.24–1.35)

AF indicates atrial fibrillation; CI, confidence interval; Hb, hemoglobin; HR, hazard ratio.

*Incidence rates were calculated per 1,000 person-years. P < 0.001, P < 0.05, §P ≥ 0.05

Model 1: Cox proportional hazards model without adjustment. Model 2: Model 1 with adjustment for age. Model 3: Model 2 with additional adjustment for body mass index, smoking, alcohol consumption, exercise frequency, and low income. Model 4: Model 3 with additional adjustment for hypertension, diabetes, and dyslipidemia. Model 5: Model 4 with additional adjustment for ischemic heart disease, congestive heart failure, stroke, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, estimated creatinine clearance, obstructive sleep apnea, and thyroid disease.