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. 2020 Mar 9;8:51761–51769. doi: 10.1109/ACCESS.2020.2979599

TABLE 2. The Prediction Intervals of the 2019-nCoV. The Mean Model Prediction With its Lower and Upper Bounds are Shown. The Mean Prediction is the Arithmetic Mean of the Experiments Shown in Figs. 3b, c. The Date and the Infective Number at Inflection Point are Listed in the 2nd -3rd column. The 4th and 5th Column, Respectively, Show the Date and the Cumulative Number at the Fading-Out Point, Which is Defined as the Infected Population Lower Than 1,000.

Prediction Inflection Point Fading-out Point
Date Peak Infectives Date Cumulative infectives
Lower bound 22-Feb 21,630 29-Apr 76,110
Upper bound 07-Mar 74,350 24-Jun 228,200
Mean 01-Mar 47,990 27-May 152,155