TABLE 2. The Prediction Intervals of the 2019-nCoV. The Mean Model Prediction With its Lower and Upper Bounds are Shown. The Mean Prediction is the Arithmetic Mean of the Experiments Shown in Figs. 3b, c. The Date and the Infective Number at Inflection Point are Listed in the 2nd -3rd column. The 4th and 5th Column, Respectively, Show the Date and the Cumulative Number at the Fading-Out Point, Which is Defined as the Infected Population Lower Than 1,000.
Prediction | Inflection Point | Fading-out Point | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Peak Infectives | Date | Cumulative infectives | |
Lower bound | 22-Feb | 21,630 | 29-Apr | 76,110 |
Upper bound | 07-Mar | 74,350 | 24-Jun | 228,200 |
Mean | 01-Mar | 47,990 | 27-May | 152,155 |