Fig 9. Calibration slope and area under the curve (AUC) with 95% confidence interval.
Forecasting methods are abbreviated by N for naive, S for shrinkage, H for heterogeneity, SH for shrinkage and heterogeneity, PM for prediction market.
Official websites use .gov
A
.gov website belongs to an official
government organization in the United States.
Secure .gov websites use HTTPS
A lock (
) or https:// means you've safely
connected to the .gov website. Share sensitive
information only on official, secure websites.