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. 2020 Apr 17;16:149–155. doi: 10.2147/VHRM.S245829

Table 1.

Summary of the Predictive Value of MetS on CVD Morbidity

Study Participants (n) Age (Years) Follow-Up (Years) Definition of MetS (Abdominal Obesity) CVD Incidence Coronary Heart Disease Stroke
n HR (95% CI) n HR (95% CI) n HR (95% CI)
Suita Studya [Kokubo Y, et al]16 M: 2492 30–79 12.5 Japanese M: 48 1.34 (0.96–1.87) M: 22 1.51 (0.91–2.48) M: 26 1.27 (0.81–1.97)
W: 2840 (Waist circumference) W: 19 2.20 (1.31–3.68) W: 7 2.70 (1.15–6.35) W: 12 2.05 (1.07–3.92)
NCEP-ATPIII (Asian) M: 55 1.75 (1.27–2.41) M: 26 2.12 (1.31–3.43) M: 29 1.58 (1.02–2.43)
(Waist circumference) W: 56 1.90 (1.31–2.77) W: 21 2.77 (1.44–5.32) W: 35 1.62 (1.02–2.58)
Hisayama Studyb [Doi Y, et al]17 M: 1050 ≥40 14 Japanese M: 34 1.28 (0.86–1.91)
W: 1402 (Waist circumference) W: 19 1.89 (1.15–3.10)
Modified Japanese M: 24 2.49 (1.57–3.94)
(Waist circumference) W: 47 2.27 (1.55–3.32)
Modified NCEP-ATPIII M: 40 1.66 (1.14–2.43)
(Waist circumference) W: 62 1.88 (1.30–2.74)

Notes: aAdjusted Confounders: age, smoking, drinking. bAdjusted Confounders: age, proteinuria, cholesterol, electrocardiogram abnormalities, alcohol, exercise, smoking. The bold text shows a HR (95% CI) level with a significance of P<0.05.

Abbreviations: MetS, metabolic syndrome; CVD, cardiovascular disease; n, number; M, men; W, women; HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval, NCEP-ATPIII, National Cholesterol Education Program - the third revision of Adult Treatment Panel.