Fig. 10.

COVID-19 outbreak dynamics in the United States. Reported infectious populations and simulated exposed, infectious, and recovered populations. Simulations are based on a state-specific parameter identification of the contact period B defining the basic reproduction number $R_0=C/B$, and the fraction of the initial latent population $\rho =E_0/I_0$ for each state, for a given outbreak delay ${\mathrm{d}}_0$ and disease-specific latent and infectious periods $A=2.56$ and $C=17.82$ identified for the Chinese outbreak