Table 2.
Fraction of 95% projection intervals that cover the eventual value for full models for all diseases at all prediction windows.
Japan |
Singapore |
Taiwan | Thailand |
|||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Window | Chickenpox | HFMD | Dengue | HFMD | Dengue | Chickenpox | Dengue | Malaria |
1 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 99% | |||
2 | 100% | 98% | 100% | 100% | 98% | |||
3 | 100% | 96% | 99% | 98% | 97% | |||
4 | 100% | 96% | 98% | 96% | 96% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
5 | 100% | 95% | 98% | 94% | 94% | |||
6 | 100% | 94% | 97% | 87% | 92% | |||
7 | 100% | 92% | 95% | 83% | 91% | |||
8 | 100% | 91% | 93% | 77% | 89% | 100% | 98% | 96% |
9 | 100% | 91% | 91% | 74% | 86% | |||
10 | 100% | 90% | 90% | 73% | 85% | |||
11 | 100% | 90% | 88% | 71% | 82% | |||
12 | 100% | 89% | 86% | 69% | 80% | 100% | 98% | 96% |
13 | 100% | 89% | 83% | 64% | 80% | |||
14 | 100% | 89% | 84% | 63% | 81% | |||
15 | 100% | 90% | 83% | 63% | 81% | |||
16 | 100% | 90% | 83% | 63% | 81% | 100% | 94% | 100% |
17 | 100% | 91% | 89% | 65% | 80% | |||
18 | 100% | 90% | 91% | 64% | 80% | |||
19 | 100% | 90% | 92% | 64% | 80% | |||
20 | 99% | 90% | 91% | 64% | 80% | 100% | 93% | 98% |
21 | 99% | 90% | 90% | 65% | 81% | |||
22 | 99% | 90% | 91% | 63% | 82% | |||
23 | 99% | 90% | 90% | 63% | 82% | |||
24 | 99% | 90% | 89% | 63% | 81% | 100% | 94% | 98% |
25 | 100% | 90% | 86% | 63% | 82% | |||
26 | 100% | 90% | 82% | 63% | 81% |