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. 2020 Apr 15;9:e51773. doi: 10.7554/eLife.51773

Table 2. List of parameters used in the model.

 # Name Description Value Reference
 1 V Set of villages |V| = 1000
 2 N Set of individuals across all villages |N| = 314,795 -
 3 ml Proportion of males in the population 0.48 (National Institute of Statistics, 2008)
 4 maxage Maximum age 80 years -
 5 beta Biting rate variable* -
 6 previ Initial proportion of infectious people variable* -
 7 resit Initial proportion of artemisinin resistant infections variable* -
 8 netuse Proportion of individuals that own an insecticide treated bed net 0.5 -
 9 itneffect proportional decrease of individual susceptibility/infectiousness related to ITN usage 0.2 -
 10 ovstay Mean number of nights spent somewhere when undertaking short-term population movement 3 -
 11 crit Critical distance below which overnight stays somewhere other than your home are made very unlikely 4 km -
 12 timecomp Mean time to complete ACT routine treatment 4 days Best guess
 13 fullcourse Proportion that receives treatment full course 0.8 (Yeung et al., 2008)
 14 covab Proportion of symptomatic cases that receive antimalarials 0.6 (Yeung et al., 2008)
 15 nomp Relative probability of receiving treatment in a non-malaria post village 0.1 Best guess
 16 asymtreat Relative probability of receiving treatment without clinical symptom 10−4 -
 17 tauab Daily probability of receiving ACT in a village under MDA 1/1.5 -
 18 gamma Mean liver stage duration 5 days (Collins and Jeffery, 1999; Eyles and Young, 1951)
 19 sigma Mean time to infectiousness after liver emergence 15 days (Jeffery and Eyles, 1955)
 20 mellow Mean duration of symptoms 3 days (Church et al., 1997)
 21 xa0 Daily probability of going below the minimum effective artemisinin concentration 1/7 (Karbwang et al., 1998)
 22 xai Daily probability losing the DHA effect as part of ACT 1/3 (Rijken et al., 2011Tarning et al., 2008)
 23 xab Daily probability of going below the minimum effective piperaquine concentration 1/30 (Rijken et al., 2011Tarning et al., 2008)
 24 xpr Daily probability of going below the minimum effective primaquine concentration 1/2 (Burgess and Bray, 1961)
 25 delta Mean duration of a malaria untreated infection 160 days (Eyles and Young, 1951; Babiker et al., 1998; Franks et al., 2001)
 26 imm_min Minimum clinical immunity period 40 days Best guess
 27 alpha Average permanence in each immunity level 60 days -
 28 phic Relative infectiousness of symptomatic infections compared to sub-patent ones 1 -
 29 mdi Mosquito daily probability of dying while infectious 1/7 (Dawes et al., 2009)
 30 mdn Mosquito daily probability of dying while infected but not yet infectious 1/20 (Dawes et al., 2009)
 31 mgamma Mean extrinsic incubation period 14 days (Smith et al., 2014)
 32 amp Amplitude of mosquito density seasonal variation 0.6 Best guess
 33 process Days needed to administer a full ACT course in one village 4 days Optimistic guess
 34 rounds Number of drug rounds in an MDA campaign 3 Standard practice
 35 btrounds Number of days between drug rounds in an MDA campaign 32 Standard practice
 36 vcefficacy Vector control efficacy variable* -
 37 cbr0a Daily probability of clearing blood stage drug sensitive parasites with circulating dha 1/5 (Adjuik et al., 2004Pukrittayakamee et al., 2004)
 38 cbraa Daily probability of clearing blood stage artemisinin resistant parasites with dha 0.27*cbr0a
(0.05)
(Dondorp et al., 2009)
 39 cir0a Daily probability of clearing infectious stage drug sensitive parasites with circulating dha 1/3 (Adjuik et al., 2004Pukrittayakamee et al., 2004)
 40 ciraa Daily probability of clearing infectious stage artemisinin resistant parasites with dha 0.27*cir0a
(0.09)
(Dondorp et al., 2009)
 41 cbroab Daily probability of clearing blood stage drug sensitive parasites with circulating dha- piperaquine 1/3 (Adjuik et al., 2004; Pukrittayakamee et al., 2004)
 42 cbraab Daily probability of clearing blood stage artemisinin resistant parasites with dha- piperaquine 0.27*cbroab + (1.0–0.27)*cbr0b
(0.33)
(Dondorp et al., 2009)
 43 cir0ab Daily probability of clearing infectious stage
drug sensitive parasites with circulating dha- piperaquine
1/3 (Bustos et al., 2013)
 44 ciraab Daily probability of clearing infectious stage artemisinin resistant parasites with dha- piperaquine 0.27*cir0ab + (1.0–0.27)*cir0b
(0.126)
-
 45 cbr0b Daily probability of clearing blood stage drug sensitive parasites with circulating piperaquine 1/3 (Chen et al., 1982)
 46 cbrab Daily probability of clearing blood stage artemisinin resistant parasites with piperaquine 1/3 (Chen et al., 1982)
 47 cir0b Daily probability of clearing infectious stage drug sensitive parasites with circulating piperaquine 1/20 (Myint et al., 2007)
 48 cirab Daily probability of clearing infectious stage artemisinin resistant parasites with piperaquine 1/20 (Myint et al., 2007)
 49 cir0p Daily probability of clearing infectious stage drug sensitive parasites with primaquine 1/1.5 (Burgess and Bray, 1961; Smithuis et al., 2010)
 50 cirap Daily probability of clearing infectious stage
artemisinin resistant parasites with primaquine
1/1.5 -
 51 k Steepness of susceptibility increase with age 0.14 (Aguas et al., 2008)
 52 r Amplitude of susceptibility increase with age 0.99 (Aguas et al., 2008)

*the values are varied in different simulation settings. Their values are given in the description of each set of experiments and the set of possible values is given in Table 1.