Skip to main content
. 2020 Apr 15;30(4):519–530. doi: 10.1089/thy.2019.0426

Table 5.

Effect Modification of Menopausal Hormone Therapy TYPE (Stratified Analysis)

Any MHT use duration
  N (%) No. of invasive breast cancer cases Incidencea No. of years used MHT Age-adjusted HR [95% CI] Fully adjusted HR [95% CI]
Full model—all
 No thyroid dx 111,740 6769 41.68 4.57 (7.10) Ref. Ref.
 Hyperthyroid dx 1695 114 47.26 5.49 (7.80) 1.11 [0.92–1.34] 1.12 [0.93–1.36]
 Any hypothyroid dx with no medication 7815 501 43.77 5.81 (7.99) 1.05 [0.96–1.15] 0.97 [0.89–1.07]
 Any hypothyroid dx with medications 12,872 753 40.47 6.98 (8.81) 0.95 [0.88–1.02] 0.89 [0.83–0.97]
Duration of any MHT use: none
 No thyroid dx 50,560 2746 38.66 0 (0) Ref. Ref.
 Hyperthyroid dx 708 40 41.56 0 (0) 1.07 [0.78–1.47] 1.10 [0.79–1.54]
 Any hypothyroid dx with no medication 2963 180 43.09 0 (0) 1.13 [0.97–1.32] 1.03 [0.88–1.21]
 Any hypothyroid dx with medications 4324 204 33.50 0 (0) 0.87 [0.75–1.00] 0.80 [0.69–0.93]
Duration of MHT use: <5 years
 No thyroid dx 25,248 1502 39.44 1.93 (1.29) Ref. Ref.
 Hyperthyroid dx 353 27 53.45 1.90 (1.27) 1.36 [0.93–2.00] 1.40 [0.96–2.051]
 Any hypothyroid dx with no medication 1792 115 42.81 1.94 (1.27) 1.08 [0.89–1.31] 1.01 [0.83–1.23]
 Any hypothyroid dx with medications 2772 156 38.07 1.98 (1.30) 0.96 [0.81–1.14] 0.93 [0.78–1.09]
Duration of MHT use: 5 years or more
 No thyroid dx 35,927 2521 47.32 12.86 (7.25) Ref. Ref.
 Hyperthyroid dx 634 47 49.77 13.63 (7.39) 1.00 [0.74–1.35] 1.01 [0.75–1.37]
 Any hypothyroid dx with no medication 3060 206 44.96 13.71 (7.62) 0.94 [0.81–1.08] 0.90 [0.78–1.05]
 Any hypothyroid dx with medications 5776 393 46.69 14.61 (8.10) 0.95 [0.85–1.05] 0.93 [0.83–1.03]
Unopposed estrogen (E)
  N (%) No. of invasive breast cancer cases Incidenceb No. of years used E Age-adjusted HR [95% CI] Fully adjusted HR [95% CI]
Full model—all
 No thyroid dx
111,740
6769
41.68
3.18 (6.77)
Ref.
Ref.
 Hyperthyroidism dx
1695
114
47.26
4.07 (7.70)
1.11 [0.92–1.34]
1.12 [0.93–1.36]
 Any hypothyroidism dx with no meds
7815
501
43.77
4.18 (7.83)
1.05 [0.96–1.15]
0.97 [0.89–1.07]
 Any hypothyroidism dx with meds
12,872
753
40.47
5.27 (8.77)
0.95 [0.88–1.03]
0.89 [0.83–0.97]
Duration of unopposed estrogen use: none
 No thyroid dx
74,496
4599
42.53
0 (0)
Ref.
Ref.
 Hyperthyroidism dx
1073
69
45.44
0 (0)
1.04 [0.81–1.32]
1.05 [0.82–1.35]
 Any hypothyroidism dx with no meds
4764
319
45.81
0 (0)
1.08 [0.97–1.22]
0.98 [0.87–1.11]
 Any hypothyroidism dx with meds
7196
429
41.15
0 (0)
0.95 [0.86–1.05]
0.87 [0.78–0.96]
Duration of unopposed estrogen use: <5 years
 No thyroid dx
14,509
815
38.61
1.83 (1.26)
Ref.
Ref.
 Hyperthyroidism dx
204
18
62.52
1.79 (1.27)
1.62 [1.01–2.58]
1.62 [1.01–2.58]
 Any hypothyroidism dx with no meds
1058
60
38.86
1.79 (1.21)
1.01 [0.77–1.31]
0.94 [0.72–1.22]
 Any hypothyroidism dx with meds
1682
95
39.41
1.92 (1.30)
0.99 [0.80–1.23]
0.93 [0.75–1.15]
Duration of unopposed estrogen use: 5 years or more
 No thyroid dx
22,732
1355
40.87
14.47 (7.92)
Ref.
Ref.
 Hyperthyroidism dx
418
27
44.57
15.64 (7.78)
1.06 [0.72–1.57]
1.07 [0.73–1.58]
 Any hypothyroidism dx with no meds
1993
122
41.53
15.44 (8.24)
0.99 [0.82–1.20]
0.96 [0.79–1.16]
 Any hypothyroidism dx with meds 3994 229 39.69 16.18 (8.58) 0.95 [0.83–1.10] 0.91 [0.79–1.05]
Estrogen+progestogen
  N (%) No. of invasive breast cancer cases Incidencec No. of years used E + P Age-adjusted HR [95% CI] Fully adjusted HR [95% CI]
Full model—all
 No thyroid dx
111,740
6769
41.68
1.43 (3.70)
Ref.
Ref.
 Hyperthyroid dx
1695
114
47.26
1.62 (3.70)
1.11 [0.92–1.34]
1.12 [0.93–1.36]
 Any hypothyroid dx with no medication
7815
501
43.77
1.81 (4.06)
1.05 [0.96–1.15]
0.97 [0.89–1.07]
 Any hypothyroid dx with medications
12,872
753
40.47
1.94 (4.39)
0.95 [0.88–1.03]
0.89 [0.83–0.97]
Duration of estrogen+progestogen use: none
 No thyroid dx
82,101
4476
38.39
0 (0)
Ref.
Ref.
 Hyperthyroid dx
1218
69
40.84
0 (0)
1.07 [0.84–1.36]
1.09 [0.85–1.40]
 Any hypothyroid dx with no medication
5525
330
41.75
0 (0)
1.09 [0.98–1.22]
1.01 [0.90–1.14]
 Any hypothyroid dx with medications
9042
459
35.79
0 (0)
0.93 [0.84–1.02]
0.87 [0.79–0.96]
Duration of estrogen+progestogen use: <5 years
 No thyroid dx
15,204
1026
42.98
1.94 (1.28)
Ref.
Ref.
 Hyperthyroid dx
234
22
63.56
1.93 (1.25)
1.41 [0.92–2.18]
1.51 [0.98–2.34]
 Any hypothyroid dx with no medication
1126
80
45.41
1.99 (1.27)
1.03 [0.82–1.30]
0.98 [0.78–1.23]
 Any hypothyroid dx with medications
1822
113
40.27
1.94 (1.27)
0.93 [0.76–1.13]
0.89 [0.73–1.09]
Duration of estrogen+progestogen use: 5 years or more
 No thyroid dx
14,432
1267
57.75
9.82 (4.72)
Ref.
Ref.
 Hyperthyroid dx
243
23
61.12
9.45 (4.42)
0.99 [0.64–1.53]
0.98 [0.64–1.51]
 Any hypothyroid dx with no medication
1164
91
51.13
10.21 (4.78)
0.88 [0.71–1.09]
0.85 [0.68–1.05]
 Any hypothyroid dx with medications 2008 181 60.86 10.67 (5.38) 0.99 [0.84–1.16] 0.95 [0.81–1.12]
a

Incidence per 10,000 person-years follow-up.

MHT use × thyroid group interaction p = 0.346.

Fully adjusted model includes age, race/ethnicity, body mass index, smoking, alcohol intake, duration of menopausal hormone replacement therapy, history of hysterectomy/oophorectomy, parity history and numbers, age at menarche, age at menopause, family history of breast cancer, mammogram ever, and breastfeeding.

b

Incidence per 10,000 person-years follow-up.

Unopposed estrogen duration × thyroid group interaction p = 0.747.

Fully adjusted model includes age, race/ethnicity, body mass index, smoking, alcohol intake, duration of menopausal hormone replacement therapy, history of hysterectomy/oophorectomy, parity history and numbers, age at menarche, age at menopause, family history of breast cancer, mammogram ever, and breastfeeding.

c

Incidence per 10,000 person-years follow-up.

E + P use × thyroid group interaction p = 0.497.

Fully adjusted model includes age, race/ethnicity, body mass index, smoking, alcohol intake, duration of menopausal hormone replacement therapy, history of hysterectomy/oophorectomy, parity history and numbers, age at menarche, age at menopause, family history of breast cancer, mammogram ever, and breastfeeding.

dx, diagnosis.