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. 2020 Apr 23;25(16):2000155. doi: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.16.2000155

Table 2. Factors associated with containment delay, Hong Kong, 23 January–13 February 2020 (n = 49 cases)a .

Factors Regression coefficient (95% confidence interval)
Model 1
(n = 49)a
Model 2
(n = 49)a
Model 3
(n = 35)a,b
Age group in years
22–39 Reference Reference Reference
40–69 1.51 days (−0.90 to 3.93) 1.69 days (−0.47 to 3.86) −0.57 days (−3.26 to 2.13)
≥ 70 2.54 days (−0.49 to 5.58) 2.18 days (−0.53 to 4.88) 4.08 days (−0.05 to 8.21)
Sex
Female Reference Reference Reference
Male −1.31 days (−3.25 to 0.62) −0.44 days (−2.21 to 1.33) −3.16 days (−5.39 to −0.92)
Case notification period start and end in day/month
23/01 to 29/01 Reference Not applicable Not applicable
30/01 to 06/02 4.61 days (1.42 to 7.81) Not applicable Not applicable
07/02 to 13/02 6.05 days (3.21 to 8.90) Not applicable Not applicable
Potential source of infection
Local Not applicable Reference Not applicable
Imported Not applicable −6.08 days (−8.26 to −3.91) Not applicable
Number of doctor consultationsc before isolation
Number of doctor consultationsc before isolation Not applicable Not applicable 2.08 days (1.16 to 2.99)
Presence of comorbidities
No Not applicable Not applicable Reference
Yes Not applicable Not applicable 1.52 days (−1.06 to 4.10)

a Cases intercepted at borders (cases 1 and 7) or quarantined during symptom onset (cases 8 and 15) were excluded.

b Cases with missing number of doctor consultations before isolation (cases 30–36) or missing comorbidity (cases 9-12, 29-36, 42 and 46) were excluded.

c From community health clinics or hospital emergency departments.

The date range covered by the table, from 23 January to 13 February, corresponds to the period when the 49 cases were reported. Model 1 explores the association of the containment delay and different periods of the outbreak after adjusting for age and sex. Model 2 explores the association between the containment delay and the potential source of infection after adjusting for age and sex. Model 3 explores the association between the containment delay and the number of doctor consultations before isolation after adjusting for age, sex and presence of comorbidities.