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. 2020 Jan 22;368:l6987. doi: 10.1136/bmj.l6987

Table 2.

Adjusted incidence ratios for zoster in 9604 adults during risk periods after household exposure to a child with varicella

Time period No of zoster events Person years of observation Crude incidence ratio (95% CI) Age adjusted incidence ratio* (95% CI) Age, calendar time, and season adjusted incidence ratio* (95% CI)
Baseline† 4116 56 417 1.00 1.00 1.00
60 days pre-exposure 433 1539 3.17 (2.86 to 3.51) 2.89 (2.60 to 3.21) 2.87 (2.58 to 3.19)
Post-exposure risk period (years):
 0-<2 1177 18 031 0.77 (0.72 to 0.82) 0.68 (0.63 to 0.74) 0.67 (0.62 to 0.73)
 2-<5 1432 22 2901 0.85 (0.80 to 0.91) 0.70 (0.64 to 0.77) 0.69 (0.63 to 0.76)
 5-<10 1546 24 620 0.96 (0.89 to 1.02) 0.70 (0.63 to 0.79) 0.69 (0.61 to 0.77)
 10-20 900 13 317 1.25 (1.14 to 1.37) 0.77 (0.65 to 0.90) 0.73 (0.62 to 0.87)
*

Age defined by 40 quantiles of age at event (herpes zoster); calendar time defined as 1997-98, 1999-2000, 2001-02, 2003-04, 2005-06, 2007-08, 2009-10, 2011-12, 2013-14, 2015-16, 2017-18; and season defined as winter (December-February), spring (March-May), summer (June-August), and autumn (September-November).

All time from observation start to 60 days pre-exposure, and after the 20 years after exposure: seven zoster events occurred after the 20 years after exposure.