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. 2020 Jan 29;368:m34. doi: 10.1136/bmj.m34

Table 4.

Multivariable adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) of major causes of death and numbers of deaths according to fifths of soy product intake in Japanese men. Row numbers are deaths

Causes of death, by soy product Men (n=42 750)* Ptrend
First (lowest intake) Second Third Fourth Fifth (highest intake)
Cancer
Total soy products 582 616 652 693 777
Model 2 1 0.97 (0.86 to 1.08) 1.00 (0.89 to 1.12) 1.01 (0.90 to 1.13) 1.09 (0.96 to 1.22) 0.10
Fermented soy products 647 593 624 731 725
Model 2 1 0.91 (0.81 to 1.02) 0.92 (0.82 to 1.03) 1.04 (0.93 to 1.17) 0.97 (0.85 to 1.09) 0.66
Non-fermented soy 616 622 652 721 709
Model 2 1 1.00 (0.90 to 1.13) 1.04 (0.93 to 1.17) 1.10 (0.98 to 1.23) 1.06 (0.94 to 1.19) 0.12
Natto 601 619 656 667 777
Model 2 1 1.01 (0.90 to 1.13) 0.97 (0.86 to 1.10) 1.00 (0.89 to 1.13) 0.98 (0.87 to 1.11) 0.74
Miso 601 619 656 667 777
Model 2 1 0.95 (0.85 to 1.07) 0.97 (0.86 to 1.08) 0.95 (0.84 to 1.06) 1.02 (0.91 to 1.16) 0.74
Tofu 618 629 655 680 738
Model 2 1 1.01 (0.90 to 1.13) 1.04 (0.93 to 1.17) 1.03 (0.92 to 1.16) 1.09 (0.97 to 1.22) 0.13
Total cardiovascular disease
Total soy products 345 397 398 397 463
Model 2 1 1.03 (0.89 to 1.20) 0.97 (0.84 to 1.13) 0.89 (0.77 to 1.04) 0.95 (0.82 to 1.11) 0.18
Fermented soy products 363 369 424 436 408
Model 2 1 0.98 (0.84 to 1.14) 1.04 (0.90 to 1.21) 1.00 (0.85 to 1.17) 0.82 (0.70 to 0.97) 0.04
Non-fermented soy 419 348 386 396 451
Model 2 1 0.85 (0.74 to 0.98) 0.91 (0.79 to 1.04) 0.87 (0.75 to 1.00) 0.95 (0.82 to 1.09) 0.63
Natto 691 306 317 342 344
Model 2 1 0.86 (0.74 to 1.00) 0.86 (0.73 to 1.00) 0.85 (0.73 to 0.99) 0.76 (0.65 to 0.90) 0.002
Miso 345 365 380 437 473
Model 2 1 0.96 (0.84 to 1.13) 0.95 (0.81 to 1.10) 1.04 (0.90 to 1.21) 0.95 (0.82 to 1.10) 0.84
Tofu 425 348 381 406 440
Model 2 1 0.83 (0.72 to 0.96) 0.89 (0.77 to 1.02) 0.87 (0.75 to 1.00) 0.90 (0.78 to 1.04) 0.30
Heart disease
Total soy products 189 229 209 202 239
Model 2 1 1.08 (0.88 to 1.31) 0.90 (0.74 to 1.11) 0.79 (0.64 to 0.98) 0.82 (0.67 to 1.02) 0.004
Fermented soy products 201 203 221 233 210
Model 2 1 0.98 (0.81 to 1.20) 0.99 (0.81 to 1.22) 0.97 (0.78 to 1.19) 0.77 (0.62 to 0.97) 0.03
Non-fermented soy 228 189 214 202 235
Model 2 1 0.83 (0.68 to 1.00) 0.88 (0.72 to 1.07) 0.75 (0.62 to 0.92) 0.41 (0.67 to 0.99) 0.03
Natto 376 170 160 194 168
Model 2 1 0.90 (0.74 to 1.10) 0.82 (0.66 to 1.02) 0.92 (0.75 to 1.14) 0.71 (0.57 to 0.88) 0.01
Miso 194 174 212 247 241
Model 2 1 0.84 (0.68 to 1.03) 0.97 (0.79 to 1.18) 1.06 (0.87 to 1.30) 0.86 (0.70 to 1.06) 0.74
Tofu 234 191 204 214 225
Model 2 1 0.81 (0.66 to 0.98) 0.82 (0.67 to 0.99) 0.77 (0.63 to 0.94) 0.74 (0.61 to 0.90) 0.005
Cerebrovascular disease
Total soy products 128 144 155 170 183
Model 2 1 1.02 (0.80 to 1.30) 1.04 (0.82 to 1.33) 1.06 (0.83 to 1.36) 1.08 (0.85 to 1.39) 0.46
Fermented soy 126 147 169 175 163
Model 2 1 1.10 (0.86 to 1.40) 1.16 (0.91 to 1.49) 1.12 (0.87 to 1.44) 0.91 (0.70 to 1.20) 0.46
Non-fermented soy 167 131 144 157 181
Model 2 1 0.83 (0.66 to 1.05) 0.89 (0.71 to 1.12) 0.94 (0.74 to 1.18) 1.07 (0.86 to 1.34) 0.31
Natto 259 117 130 126 148
Model 2 1 0.84 (0.66 to 1.07) 0.89 (0.69 to 1.13) 0.78 (0.61 to 1.01) 0.83 (0.65 to 1.07) 0.14
Miso 125 160 143 157 195
Model 2 1 1.15 (0.90 to 1.45) 0.94 (0.73 to 1.20) 0.99 (0.78 to 1.27) 1.04 (0.82 to 1.33) 0.83
Tofu 165 127 148 158 182
Model 2 1 0.81 (0.64 to 1.03) 0.94 (0.74 to 1.18) 0.95 (0.75 to 1.19) 1.08 (0.86 to 1.36) 0.24
Respiratory disease
Total soy products 99 102 110 123 184
Model 2 1 0.97 (0.73 to 1.28) 1.01 (0.76 to 1.35) 1.03 (0.78 to 1.37) 1.36 (1.03 to 1.78) 0.01
Fermented soy products 141 94 102 125 156
Model 2 1 0.72 (0.55 to 0.95) 0.79 (0.60 to 1.03) 0.88 (0.67 to 1.15) 0.97 (0.73 to 1.28) 0.74
Non-fermented soy 106 96 115 134 167
Model 2 1 0.96 (0.73 to 1.27) 1.10 (0.84 to 1.44) 1.17 (0.89 to 1.53) 1.31 (1.00 to 1.70) 0.02
Natto 247 79 75 91 126
Model 2 1 0.82 (0.62 to 1.07) 0.82 (0.61 to 1.10) 0.88 (0.66 to 1.18) 0.96 (0.73 to 1.27) 0.90
Miso 114 113 109 114 168
Model 2 1 0.92 (0.70 to 1.19) 0.88 (0.67 to 1.15) 0.90 (0.68 to 1.19) 1.07 (0.82 to 1.40) 0.55
Tofu 110 105 109 138 156
Model 2 1 1.00 (0.76 to 1.31) 0.99 (0.75 to 1.30) 1.13 (0.87 to 1.47) 1.13 (0.87 to 1.47) 0.23
Injury
Total soy products 137 123 144 131 149
Model 2 1 0.82 (0.64 to 1.05) 0.91 (0.71 to 1.16) 0.77 (0.59 to 0.99) 0.85 (0.66 to 1.10) 0.22
Fermented soy products 124 125 138 149 148
Model 2 1 0.91 (0.71 to 1.18) 0.91 (0.70 to 1.18) 0.91 (0.70 to 1.19) 0.86 (0.65 to 1.13) 0.36
Non-fermented soy 149 141 134 115 145
Model 2 1 1.01 (0.80 to 1.28) 0.97 (0.76 to 1.23) 0.81 (0.63 to 1.04) 1.01 (0.79 to 1.29) 0.50
Natto 186 124 136 121 117
Model 2 1 1.10 (0.86 to 1.41) 1.17 (0.90 to 1.52) 0.99 (0.75 to 1.30) 0.96 (0.72 to 1.27) 0.53
Miso 129 111 128 136 180
Model 2 1 0.81 (0.62 to 1.04) 0.82 (0.63 to 1.05) 0.84 (0.65 to 1.08) 1.00 (0.78 to 1.28) 0.76
Tofu 147 145 127 124 141
Model 2 1 1.05 (0.83 to 1.33) 0.93 (0.73 to 1.19) 0.89 (0.69 to 1.14) 1.00 (0.78 to 1.28) 0.57

Model 2 is adjusted for age, area, smoking, frequency of alcohol intake, body mass index, sports or physical exercise, history of diabetes or taking drugs for diabetes, taking antihypertensives, health check-up, total energy intake, and intake of green tea, coffee, fish, meat, fruit, and vegetables.

*

Except for natto intake, the first to fifth categories comprised 8550 men. The first category of natto intake included participants who did not eat natto (n=12450). The remaining participants were divided into quarters and are shown in the second to fifth categories (7575 in men).