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. 2020 Jan 6;368:l6744. doi: 10.1136/bmj.l6744

Table 2.

GRADE summary of findings for clinically important gastrointestinal bleeding (CIB) for different comparisons of gastrointestinal bleeding prophylaxis

Comparison Odds ratio (95% CI) and measurements Absolute effect estimates (per 1000) Absolute difference (95% CI) per 1000 Certainty in effect estimates Plain text summary
PPIs v placebo 0.61 (0.42 to 0.89).
4317 patients in 8 studies
Low risk Placebo: 12 PPIs: 7 −5 (−7 to −1) Moderate* PPIs probably reduce CIB by less than the amount most people would need to choose a PPI
Moderate risk 30 19 −11 (−17 to −3) Low*† PPIs may reduce CIB by less than the amount most people would need to choose a PPI
High risk 60 37 −23 (−34 to −6) Moderate† PPIs probably reduce CIB
Highest risk 90 57 −33 (−50 to −9) Moderate† PPIs probably reduce CIB
H2RAs v placebo 0.46 (0.27 to 0.79).
1242 patients in 14 studies
Low risk Placebo: 12 H2RAs: 6 −6 (−9 to −2) Moderate* H2RAs probably reduce CIB by less than the amount most people would need to choose a H2RA
Moderate risk 30 14 −16 (−22 to −6) Low*† H2RAs may reduce CIB by less than the amount most people would need to choose a H2RA
High risk 60 29 −31 (−43 to −12) Moderate† H2RAs probably reduce CIB
Highest risk 90 44 −46 (−64 to −18) Moderate† H2RAs probably reduce CIB
Sucralfate v placebo 0.76 (0.36 to 1.62).
874 patients in 6 studies
Low risk Placebo: 12 Suc: 9 −3 (−8 to 7) Moderate* Sucralfate probably does not have an important effect
Moderate risk 30 23 −7 (−19 to 18) Low*† Sucralfate may not have an important effect
High risk 60 46 −14 (−38 to 34) Low‡ Sucralfate may not have an important effect
Highest risk 90 70 −20 (−56 to 48) Low‡ Sucralfate may not have an important effect
PPIs v H2RAs 0.58 (0.29 to 1.17).
1010 patients in 5 studies with low risk of bias
Low risk H2RAs: 12 PPIs: 7§ −5 (−17 to 1) Low*† There may be no important difference
Moderate risk 32 19§ −13 (−44 to 3) Low*† PPIs may reduce CIB more than H2RAs
High risk 62 37§ −25 (−80 to 5) Moderate† PPIs probably reduce CIB more than H2RAs
Highest risk 94 57§ −37 (−116 to 8) Moderate† PPIs probably reduce CIB more than H2RAs
PPIs v sucralfate 0.30 (0.05 to 1.92).
211 patients in 2 studies
Low risk Suc: 23 PPIs: 7§ −16 (−117 to 3) Very low*‡ Whether there is an important difference or not is very uncertain
Moderate risk 61 19§ −42 (−260 to 9) Very low*‡ Whether there is an important difference or not is very uncertain
High risk 113 37§ −76 (−398 to 17) Low‡ PPIs may reduce CIB compared with sucralfate
Highest risk 168 57§ −111 (−490 to 27) Low‡ PPIs may reduce CIB compared with sucralfate
H2RAs v sucralfate 0.46 (0.23 to 0.91).
1340 patients in 2 studies with low risk of bias
Low risk Suc: 13 H2RAs: 6¶ −7 (−20 to −1) Low*† There may be no important difference
Moderate risk 30 14¶ −16 (−44 to −1) Low*† H2RAs may reduce CIB compared with sucralfate
High risk 61 29¶ −32 (−86 to −3) Moderate† H2RAs probably reduce CIB compared with sucralfate
Highest risk 91 44¶ −47 (−123 to −4) Moderate† H2RAs probably reduce CIB compared with sucralfate

PPIs = proton pump inhibitors; H2RAs = histamine-2 receptor antagonists.

*

Rated down due to uncertainty in baseline risk for some risk factors.

Rated down for imprecision.

Rated down 2 levels for imprecision.

§

We used the point estimate of absolute effect for PPIs, obtained from PPIs v placebo, to calculate absolute effect for PPIs v H2RAs and PPIs v sucralfate.

We used the point estimate of absolute effect for H2RAs, obtained from H2RAs v placebo, to calculate absolute effect for H2RAs v sucralfate.