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. 2020 Jan 6;368:l6744. doi: 10.1136/bmj.l6744

Table 3.

GRADE summary of findings for pneumonia for different comparisons

Comparison Direct estimate (95% CrI); Certainty of evidence Indirect estimate (95% CrI); Certainty of evidence Network estimate (95% CrI); Certainty of evidence* Absolute effect estimates† (95% CrI) per 1000
PPIs v placebo 1.08 (0.77 to 1.74);
Moderate‡
1.78 (0.98 to 3.23);
Moderate‡
1.39 (0.98 to 2.10);
Lowद
Placebo: 162 PPIs: 212 (159 to 287)
Difference: 50 (−3 to 125)
H2RAs v placebo 1.32 (0.87 to 2.02);
Moderate‡
0.91 (0.50 to 1.94);
Moderate‡
1.26 (0.89 to 1.85);
Lowद
Placebo: 162 H2RAs: 196 (148 to 263)
Difference: 34 (−14 to 101)
Sucralfate v placebo 2.13 (0.69 to 6.74);
Moderate‡
0.68 (0.42 to 1.11);
Moderate‡
0.85 (0.56 to 1.33);
Low‡§
Placebo: 162 Sucralfate: 142 (98 to 204)
Difference: −20 (−64 to 42)
PPIs v H2RAs 1.10 (0.79 to 1.51);
Moderate‡
1.03 (0.57 to 1.95);
Moderate‡
1.11 (0.82 to 1.50);
Low‡§
H2RAs: 196 (148 to 263) PPIs: 212 (159 to 287)
Difference: 16 (−32 to 68)
PPIs v sucralfate 2.89 (1.38 to 6.00);
Moderate‡
1.27 (0.84 to 2.04);
Moderate‡
1.63 (1.12 to 2.46);
Low‡§
Sucralfate: 142 (98 to 204) PPIs: 212 (159 to 287)
Difference: 70 (18 to 131)
H2RAs v sucralfate 1.34 (1.04 to 1.82);
Moderate‡
2.77 (0.90 to 8.24);
Moderate‡
1.47 (1.11 to 2.03);
Low‡§
Sucralfate: 142 (98 to 204) H2RAs: 196 (148 to 263)
Difference: 53 (15 to 99)

CrI = credible interval; PPIs = proton pump inhibitors; H2RAs = histamine-2 receptor antagonists.

*

Higher of direct or indirect confidence (without consider imprecision), and then considered imprecision and incoherence.

We used as baseline risk in the placebo group of the SUP-ICU trial.

Rated down for risk of bias.

§

Rated down for imprecision.

We are skeptical of the result because the pooled result including smaller studies conflicts with the evidence from the largest study (SUP-ICU).