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. 2020 Mar 10;368:m549. doi: 10.1136/bmj.m549

Table 2.

Risk of tuberculosis (TB) among populations with conditions affecting immunity

Population and definition of positive test result Among test positive participants Compared with test negative participants
No of cohorts No of participants Total (mean) person years follow-up Active TB events (%)* TB rate per 1000 person years (95% CI)† I2 (%) No of cohorts Incidence rate ratio (95% CI) I2 (%)
General population‡:
 TST ≥10 mm 3 33 811 249 093 (7.4) 55 (0.2) 0.3 (0.1 to 1.1) 96 - - -
Dialysis:
 All IGRA positive 4 375 871 (2.3) 3 (0.8) 3.4 (1.1 to 10.7) 0 1 7.0 (0.7 to 67) N/A
 TST ≥5 mm 2 151 379 (2.5) 10 (2.0) 11.8 (0.7 to 200.7) 59 1 1.5 (0.7 to 3.3) N/A
 TST ≥10 mm 3 129 253 (2.0) 19 (14.7) 100.6 (41.6 to 243.2) 71 3 2.6 (1.4 to 4.8) 0
HIV:
 All IGRA positive 9 573 1646 (2.9) 28 (5.1) 16.9 (10.5 to 27.3) 29 7 11.0 (4.6 to 26.2) 45
 TST ≥5 mm 9 1285 3782 (2.9) 148 (7.1) 27.1 (15.0 to 49.0) 87 7 11.1 (6.2 to 19.9) 46
Silicosis:
 TST ≥10 mm 2 352 1465 (4.2) 54 (12.5) 36.9 (28.2 to 48.1) 0 1 1.7 (0.5 to 5.5) N/A
Transplant§:
 All IGRA positive: 9 481 993 (2.1) 8 (1.6) 6.7 (2.2 to 20.4) 33 6 2.5 (1.0 to 6.0) 0
 TST ≥5 mm 7 518 1716 (3.3) 8 (0.1) 1.0 (0 to 64) 64 7 0.6 (0.1 to 3.0) 30
 TST ≥10 mm 3 105 215 (2.0) 5 (0.6) 3.7 (0 to 861.5) 88 3 2.4 (0.9 to 6.4) 0
Immunosuppressants§:
 All IGRA positive 3 110 248 (2.3) 4 (0.6) 4.8 (0.1 to 279.2) 73 1 48.1 (5.4 to 430.7) N/A
 TST ≥5 mm 5 212 551 (2.6) 3 (1.4) 5.4 (1.8 to 16.9) 0 3 6.6 (1.8 to 24.2) 0
Diabetes§:
 All IGRA positive 2 334 842 (2.5) 4 (1.2) 4.4 (0.9 to 22.0) 8 1 Not calculable N/A

TST=tuberculin skin test; IGRA=interferon-gamma release assay; N/A=not applicable.

*

Percentage represents pooled cumulative incidence estimated from random effects meta-analysis.

Pooled estimates using random effects meta-analysis.

Data provided for reference. Populations are from British Columbia and Saskatchewan, Canada, and Florida, USA.

§

See supplementary S1 for a further description of studies comprising these analyses.