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. 2020 Apr 29;21:76. doi: 10.1186/s12875-020-01127-8

Table 5.

Factors associated with primary care service use in the last 12 months of life, using all deaths post QoF, N = 46,703

GP consultation GP prescription GP referral to other specialities Palliative care needs recognised or not
Palliative care (ref: Yes) No 1.32(1.31 to 1.34) < 0.0001 1.17(1.15 to 1.19) < 0.0001 1.23(1.19 to 1.26) < 0.0001
Age at death (ref: < 50) 50–59 0.95(0.92 to 0.99) < 0.0001 1.13(1.06 to 1.20) < 0.0001 1.10(1.00 to 1.20) < 0.0001 0.98(0.94 to 1.02) < 0.0001
60–69 0.93(0.90 to 0.97) 1.19(1.12 to 1.26) 1.18(1.08 to 1.28) 0.88(0.85 to 0.92)
70–79 0.90(0.87 to 0.94) 1.27(1.20 to 1.34) 1.25(1.15 to 1.35) 0.81(0.78 to 0.85)
80–89 0.84(0.81 to 0.87) 1.36(1.29 to 1.44) 1.23(1.13 to 1.34) 0.70(0.67 to 0.73)
90+ 0.78(0.75 to 0.81) 1.49(1.40 to 1.59) 1.10(0.99 to 1.21) 0.56(0.53 to 0.59)
Gender (ref: female) Male 0.95(0.94 to 0.96) < 0.0001 0.90(0.88 to 0.91) < 0.0001 1.00(0.97 to 1.03) 0.96 0.97(0.96 to 0.99) 0.006
Cancer site (ref: Lung) Colorectal 1.00(0.98 to 1.02) < 0.0001 1.06(1.03 to 1.09) < 0.0001 1.06(1.01 to 1.10) < 0.0001 0.78(0.75 to 0.80) < 0.0001
Breast 1.03(1.02 to 1.04) 0.97(0.95 to 0.99) 0.99(0.95 to 1.02) 0.90(0.88 to 0.93)
Prostate 1.21(1.19 to 1.23) 1.14(1.11 to 1.17) 1.19(1.14 to 1.24) 0.76(0.73 to 0.78)
No. comorbid conditions (ref: 0) 1 1.09(1.06 to 1.13) < 0.0001 1.20(1.17 to 1.23) < 0.0001 1.05(1.01 to 1.09) < 0.0001 1.06(1.03 to 1.08) < 0.0001
2 1.33(1.29 to 1.37) 1.45(1.42 to 1.49) 1.13(1.09 to 1.17) 1.06(1.03 to 1.09)
3 1.11(1.07 to 1.14) 1.69(1.64 to 1.74) 1.21(1.16 to 1.26) 1.05(1.02 to 1.08)
4+ 1.06(1.03 to 1.10) 2.04(1.97 to 2.10) 1.30(1.24 to 1.38) 0.99(0.95 to 1.03)
Time between diagnosis and death (ref: 120+) < 6 1.01(0.98 to 1.04) 0 < .0001 0.97(0.93 to 1.02) < 0.0001 1.54(1.42 to 1.67) < 0.0001 1.13(1.07 to 1.20) < 0.0001
6–12 0.79(0.77 to 0.81) 1.08(1.03 to 1.13) 1.43(1.32 to 1.54) 1.38(1.31 to 1.45)
13–36 0.89(0.81 to 0.98) 1.06(1.01 to 1.10) 0.90(0.84 to 0.98) 1.42(1.35 to 1.50)
37–60 1.04(0.95 to 1.14) 1.03(0.98 to 1.08) 0.93(0.86 to 1.01) 1.32(1.25 to 1.40)
61–120 1.30(1.09 to 1.54) 0.98(0.94 to 1.03) 0.95(0.88 to 1.02) 1.17(1.11 to 1.24)
Year of death (ref: 2010–2014) 2006–2009 1.18(1.16 to 1.19) < 0.0001 0.92(0.90 to 0.94) < 0.0001 0.93(0.88 to 0.97) 0.003 0.86(0.84 to 0.88) < 0.0001
Region (ref: England) Wales 1.24(1.22 to 1.26) 0.011 1.14(1.07 to 1.22) < 0.0001 1.19(1.00 to 1.42) < 0.0001 0.98(0.91 to 1.05) 0.50
Scotland 1.07(1.06 to 1.09) 0.85(0.80 to 0.89) 0.62(0.49 to 0.77) 1.00(0.95 to 1.06)
NI 1.34(1.31 to 1.37) 1.00(0.92 to 1.08) 1.35(1.10 to 1.66) 0.91(0.79 to 1.04)