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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2021 Jun 1.
Published in final edited form as: World Dev. 2020 Feb 28;130:104912. doi: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2020.104912

Table 4.

Multinomial logistic regression estimates of destination choice. All respondents included (4406 people). Reference outcome is No Migration.

Model 5 Model 6
Measures Within Nepal India Persian Gulf WWA Within Nepal India Persian Gulf WWA
Caste/ethnicity
 Brahmin-Chhetri Ref Ref Ref Ref Ref Ref Ref Ref
 Newar 1.38+ (1.57) 1.92+ (1.45) 0.60 (1.04) 0.51+ (1.37) 1.42* (1.68) 1.57 (.99) 0.53 (1.23) 0.58 (1.09)
 Hill Janajati 0.99 (.08) 2.94*** (3.91) 1.36 (1.20) 0.53* (1.82) 0.99 (.08) 2.06** (2.45) 1.15 (.51) 0.75 (.79)
 Dalit 0.74+ (1.47) 1.73* (1.67) 1.94** (2.54) 0.38* (2.16) 0.72+ (1.47) 1.04 (.10) 1.44 (1.24) 0.71 (.71)
 Terai Janajati 0.43*** (4.64) 0.63+ (1.37) 0.48** (2.72) 0.28*** (3.35) 0.41*** (4.61) 0.41** (2.49) 0.34*** (3.64) 0.51* (1.67)
Individual characteristics
Gender (1=female) 1.08 (.57) 0.33*** (4.56) 0.70*** (10.2) 0.17*** (6.62) 1.18 (1.26) 0.30*** (4.56) 0.07*** (9.10) 0.19*** (5.65)
Age: 14–19 Ref Ref Ref Ref Ref Ref Ref Ref
 20–24 0.92 (.52) 0.80 (.82) 3.24*** (3.82) 3.40** (3.03) 0.98 (.13) 1.09 (.29) 3.64*** (3.96) 3.02** (2.63)
 25–29 0.44*** (3.39) 0.29** (2.59) 3.62*** (3.33) 1.62 (.96) 0.42*** (3.41) 0.35* (2.12) 3.76** (3.27) 1.40 (.64)
 30–34 0.24*** (5.06) 0.10*** (4.01) 1.70 (1.24) 0.75 (.52) 0.22*** (5.20) 0.12*** (3.64) 1.57 (1.00) 0.69 (.65)
 35–39 0.12*** (6.13) 0.06*** (4.58) 0.94 (.14) 0.43 (1.37) 0.11*** (6.13) .08*** (4.15) 0.84 (.36) 0.42 (1.33)
 40–63 0.08*** (9.50) 0.01*** (7.57) 0.08*** (5.25) 0.07*** (4.49) 0.07*** (8.38) 0.01*** (6.91) 0.06*** (5.24) 0.09*** (3.71)
Ever married 0.46*** (4.16) 0.82 (.61) 1.26 (.82) 1.63 (1.47) 0.43*** (4.46) 0.61 (1.43) 0.99 (.04) 1.79+ (1.72)
Personal migration experience
 No migration Ref Ref Ref Ref Ref Ref Ref Ref
 Domestic only 2.94*** (6.04) 0.89 (.21) 1.55 (1.43) 2.68** (3.18) 2.81*** (5.72) 0.79 (.41) 1.27 (.76) 2.93*** (3.34)
 Any International 2.56*** (3.55) 15.0*** (7.28) 4.55*** (5.67) 4.94*** (4.52) 2.04* (2.56) 14.3*** (6.20) 3.23*** (3.95) 6.59*** (4.86)
Education: no school Ref Ref Ref Ref
 1–5 years 1.40 (1.15) 1.77 (.94) 1.34 (.67) 1.59 (.54)
 6–8 years 1.23 (.71) 1.74 (.93) 1.34 (.67) 2.61 (1.20)
 9–10 years 1.32 (.93) 1.15 (.17) 0.82 (.41) 2.21 (.96)
 11+ years 0.96 (.16) 0.49 (1.10) 0.56 (1.24) 3.49 (1.57)
Work experience: None Ref Ref Ref Ref
 Wage work only 1.15 (.97) 1.72* (2.08) 1.71* (2.05) 0.45* (1.98)
 Any salary work 1.87** (3.10) 1.06 (.15) 2.08** (2.59) 0.62 (1.42)
Household characteristics
Total # of HH members 0.99 (.14) 1.00 (.02) 1.24** (3.15) 1.06 (.63) 0.98 (.36) 1.01 (.09) 1.25** (3.17) 1.01 (.07)
Log % HH member migration 1.01 (.13) 1.00 (0.0) 0.92 (.97) 1.53** (3.20) 1.00 (.02) 1.02 (.16) 0.94 (.75) 1.41* (2.55)
Household Resources 1.05 (1.32) 0.96 (.61) 1.04 (.73) 1.11 (1.38)
Relative HH Resources:
 Lower Third Ref Ref Ref Ref
 Middle Third 0.88 (.75) 1.05 (.16) 1.03 (.10) 0.83 (.48)
 Upper Third 0.82 (.91) 1.32 (.72) 0.85 (.48) 1.03 (.06)
Neighborhood characteristics
Distance to Narayanghat (miles) 0.98 (1.30) 1.10** (3.24) 1.06* (2.38) 0.93* (2.35) 0.98 (1.35) 1.09** (2.98) 1.06* (2.38) 0.93* (2.29)
Log % NBH member migration 0.37*** (5.14) 0.33** (3.04) 0.26*** (4.60) 0.29*** (4.29) 0.37*** (5.14) 0.34** (2.82) 0.26*** (4.54) 0.28*** (3.58)

Number of Moves 376 103 155 88 376 103 155 88

Fit Statistics
AIC: 5677.56 AIC: 5677.56
−2 Log L: 5669.56 −2 Log L: 5669.56

Odds ratios (OR) shown. Z-statistics in parentheses.

Significance:

+

p<0.10

*

p<0.05

**

p<0.01

***

p<0.001

One-tailed tests for caste/ethnicity, two- tailed tests for controls.