Table 4.
Multinomial logistic regression estimates of destination choice. All respondents included (4406 people). Reference outcome is No Migration.
| Model 5 | Model 6 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Measures | Within Nepal | India | Persian Gulf | WWA | Within Nepal | India | Persian Gulf | WWA |
| Caste/ethnicity | ||||||||
| Brahmin-Chhetri | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref |
| Newar | 1.38+ (1.57) | 1.92+ (1.45) | 0.60 (1.04) | 0.51+ (1.37) | 1.42* (1.68) | 1.57 (.99) | 0.53 (1.23) | 0.58 (1.09) |
| Hill Janajati | 0.99 (.08) | 2.94*** (3.91) | 1.36 (1.20) | 0.53* (1.82) | 0.99 (.08) | 2.06** (2.45) | 1.15 (.51) | 0.75 (.79) |
| Dalit | 0.74+ (1.47) | 1.73* (1.67) | 1.94** (2.54) | 0.38* (2.16) | 0.72+ (1.47) | 1.04 (.10) | 1.44 (1.24) | 0.71 (.71) |
| Terai Janajati | 0.43*** (4.64) | 0.63+ (1.37) | 0.48** (2.72) | 0.28*** (3.35) | 0.41*** (4.61) | 0.41** (2.49) | 0.34*** (3.64) | 0.51* (1.67) |
| Individual characteristics | ||||||||
| Gender (1=female) | 1.08 (.57) | 0.33*** (4.56) | 0.70*** (10.2) | 0.17*** (6.62) | 1.18 (1.26) | 0.30*** (4.56) | 0.07*** (9.10) | 0.19*** (5.65) |
| Age: 14–19 | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref |
| 20–24 | 0.92 (.52) | 0.80 (.82) | 3.24*** (3.82) | 3.40** (3.03) | 0.98 (.13) | 1.09 (.29) | 3.64*** (3.96) | 3.02** (2.63) |
| 25–29 | 0.44*** (3.39) | 0.29** (2.59) | 3.62*** (3.33) | 1.62 (.96) | 0.42*** (3.41) | 0.35* (2.12) | 3.76** (3.27) | 1.40 (.64) |
| 30–34 | 0.24*** (5.06) | 0.10*** (4.01) | 1.70 (1.24) | 0.75 (.52) | 0.22*** (5.20) | 0.12*** (3.64) | 1.57 (1.00) | 0.69 (.65) |
| 35–39 | 0.12*** (6.13) | 0.06*** (4.58) | 0.94 (.14) | 0.43 (1.37) | 0.11*** (6.13) | .08*** (4.15) | 0.84 (.36) | 0.42 (1.33) |
| 40–63 | 0.08*** (9.50) | 0.01*** (7.57) | 0.08*** (5.25) | 0.07*** (4.49) | 0.07*** (8.38) | 0.01*** (6.91) | 0.06*** (5.24) | 0.09*** (3.71) |
| Ever married | 0.46*** (4.16) | 0.82 (.61) | 1.26 (.82) | 1.63 (1.47) | 0.43*** (4.46) | 0.61 (1.43) | 0.99 (.04) | 1.79+ (1.72) |
| Personal migration experience | ||||||||
| No migration | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref |
| Domestic only | 2.94*** (6.04) | 0.89 (.21) | 1.55 (1.43) | 2.68** (3.18) | 2.81*** (5.72) | 0.79 (.41) | 1.27 (.76) | 2.93*** (3.34) |
| Any International | 2.56*** (3.55) | 15.0*** (7.28) | 4.55*** (5.67) | 4.94*** (4.52) | 2.04* (2.56) | 14.3*** (6.20) | 3.23*** (3.95) | 6.59*** (4.86) |
| Education: no school | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref | ||||
| 1–5 years | 1.40 (1.15) | 1.77 (.94) | 1.34 (.67) | 1.59 (.54) | ||||
| 6–8 years | 1.23 (.71) | 1.74 (.93) | 1.34 (.67) | 2.61 (1.20) | ||||
| 9–10 years | 1.32 (.93) | 1.15 (.17) | 0.82 (.41) | 2.21 (.96) | ||||
| 11+ years | 0.96 (.16) | 0.49 (1.10) | 0.56 (1.24) | 3.49 (1.57) | ||||
| Work experience: None | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref | ||||
| Wage work only | 1.15 (.97) | 1.72* (2.08) | 1.71* (2.05) | 0.45* (1.98) | ||||
| Any salary work | 1.87** (3.10) | 1.06 (.15) | 2.08** (2.59) | 0.62 (1.42) | ||||
| Household characteristics | ||||||||
| Total # of HH members | 0.99 (.14) | 1.00 (.02) | 1.24** (3.15) | 1.06 (.63) | 0.98 (.36) | 1.01 (.09) | 1.25** (3.17) | 1.01 (.07) |
| Log % HH member migration | 1.01 (.13) | 1.00 (0.0) | 0.92 (.97) | 1.53** (3.20) | 1.00 (.02) | 1.02 (.16) | 0.94 (.75) | 1.41* (2.55) |
| Household Resources | 1.05 (1.32) | 0.96 (.61) | 1.04 (.73) | 1.11 (1.38) | ||||
| Relative HH Resources: | ||||||||
| Lower Third | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref | ||||
| Middle Third | 0.88 (.75) | 1.05 (.16) | 1.03 (.10) | 0.83 (.48) | ||||
| Upper Third | 0.82 (.91) | 1.32 (.72) | 0.85 (.48) | 1.03 (.06) | ||||
| Neighborhood characteristics | ||||||||
| Distance to Narayanghat (miles) | 0.98 (1.30) | 1.10** (3.24) | 1.06* (2.38) | 0.93* (2.35) | 0.98 (1.35) | 1.09** (2.98) | 1.06* (2.38) | 0.93* (2.29) |
| Log % NBH member migration | 0.37*** (5.14) | 0.33** (3.04) | 0.26*** (4.60) | 0.29*** (4.29) | 0.37*** (5.14) | 0.34** (2.82) | 0.26*** (4.54) | 0.28*** (3.58) |
| Number of Moves | 376 | 103 | 155 | 88 | 376 | 103 | 155 | 88 |
| Fit Statistics | ||||||||
| AIC: 5677.56 | AIC: 5677.56 | |||||||
| −2 Log L: 5669.56 | −2 Log L: 5669.56 | |||||||
Odds ratios (OR) shown. Z-statistics in parentheses.
Significance:
p<0.10
p<0.05
p<0.01
p<0.001
One-tailed tests for caste/ethnicity, two- tailed tests for controls.