Table 5.
Multinomial logistic regression estimates of destination choice. All respondents included (4406 people). Reference outcome is WWA.
| Model 5 | Model 6 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Measures | No Move | Within Nepal | India | Persian Gulf | No Move | Within Nepal | India | Persian Gulf |
| Caste/ethnicity | ||||||||
| Brahmin-Chhetri | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref |
| Newar | 1.96+ (1.37) | 2.71* (1.94) | 3.76* (2.06) | 1.16 (.22) | 1.73 (1.09) | 2.47* (1.71) | 2.73+ (1.52) | 0.92 (.11) |
| Hill Janajati | 1.87* (1.82) | 1.85* (1.66) | 5.51*** (3.99) | 2.56* (2.28) | 1.33 (.79) | 1.31 (.70) | 2.74* (2.23) | 1.53 (.98) |
| Dalit | 2.64* (2.16) | 1.95+ (1.39) | 4.58** (2.82) | 5.12*** (3.30) | 1.40 (.71) | 1.02 (.03) | 1.45 (.64) | 2.01+ (1.30) |
| Terai Janajati | 3.55*** (3.35) | 1.53 (1.04) | 2.24+ (1.64) | 1.71 (1.21) | 1.96* (1.67) | 0.80 (.51) | 0.80 (.42) | 0.67 (.83) |
| Individual characteristics | ||||||||
| Gender (1=female) | 5.91*** (6.62) | 6.35*** (6.42) | 1.96+ (1.90) | 0.40* (2.47) | 5.23*** (5.65) | 6.19*** (5.82) | 1.57 (1.16) | 0.37** (2.63) |
| Age: 14–19 | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref |
| 20–24 | 0.29** (3.03) | 0.27** (3.11) | 0.24** (3.05) | 0.95 (.10) | 0.33** (2.63) | 0.32** (2.57) | 0.36* (2.02) | 1.21 (.36) |
| 25–29 | 0.62 (.96) | 0.27* (2.43) | 0.18* (2.56) | 2.23 (1.32) | 0.72 (.64) | 0.30* (2.14) | 0.25* (1.98) | 2.69 (1.55) |
| 30–34 | 1.33 (.52) | 0.31+ (1.94) | 0.14* (2.57) | 2.26 (1.22) | 1.45 (.65) | 0.31+ (1.86) | 0.18* (2.16) | 2.27 (1.17) |
| 35–39 | 2.34 (1.37) | 0.27+ (1.88) | 0.15* (2.28) | 2.20 (1.06) | 2.36 (1.33) | 0.25+ (1.91) | 0.18* (1.98) | 1.99 (.88) |
| 40–63 | 14.5*** (4.49) | 1.08 (.12) | 0.15* (2.28) | 1.08 (.10) | 10.6*** (3.71) | 0.76 (.39) | 0.13* (2.33) | 0.68 (.48) |
| Ever married | 0.61 (1.47) | 0.28*** (3.46) | 0.50 (1.54) | 0.77 (.64) | 0.56+ (1.72) | 0.24*** (3.84) | 0.34* (2.30) | 0.55 (1.41) |
| Personal migration experience | ||||||||
| No migration | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref |
| Domestic only | 0.37** (3.18) | 1.10 (.27) | 0.33+ (1.76) | 0.58 (1.33) | 0.34*** (3.34) | 0.96 (.12) | 0.27* (2.04) | 0.43+ (1.93) |
| Any International | 0.20*** (4.52) | 0.52 (1.56) | 3.03** (2.63) | 0.92 (.20) | 0.15*** (4.86) | 0.31* (2.57) | 2.17 (1.39) | 0.49 (1.55) |
| Education: no school | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref | ||||
| 1–5 years | 0.63 (.54) | 0.88 (.15) | 1.11 (.10) | 0.84 (.18) | ||||
| 6–8 years | 0.38 (1.20) | 0.47 (.90) | 0.67 (.41) | 0.51 (.74) | ||||
| 9–10 years | 0.45 (.96) | 0.60 (.60) | .50 (.67) | 0.37 (1.05) | ||||
| 11+ years | 0.29 (1.57) | 0.27 (1.54) | 0.14+ (1.93) | 0.16* (2.02) | ||||
| Work experience: None | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref | ||||
| Wage work only | 2.24* (1.98) | 2.58* (2.24) | 3.86** (2.84) | 3.82** (2.85) | ||||
| Any salary work | 1.61 (1.42) | 3.00** (2.93) | 1.71 (1.07) | 3.35** (2.90) | ||||
| Household characteristics | ||||||||
| Total # of HH members | 0.94 (.63) | 0.94 (.64) | 0.94 (.46) | 1.16 (1.41) | 0.99 (.07) | 0.98 (.24) | 1.00 (.01) | 1.24+ (1.89) |
| Log % HH member migration | 0.65** (3.20) | 0.66** (2.94) | 0.65* (2.50) | 0.60*** (3.35) | 0.71* (2.55) | 0.71* (2.38) | 0.72+ (1.88) | 0.66** (2.64) |
| Household Resources | 0.90 (1.38) | 0.94 (.69) | 0.86 (1.48) | 0.94 (.70) | ||||
| Relative HH Resources: | ||||||||
| Lower Third | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref | ||||
| Middle Third | 1.20 (.48) | 1.06 (.14) | 1.27 (.49) | 1.24 (.47) | ||||
| Upper Third | 0.97 (.06) | 0.80 (.46) | 1.28 (.42) | 0.83 (.38) | ||||
| Neighborhood characteristics | ||||||||
| Distance to Narayanghat (miles) | 1.08* (2.35) | 1.05 (1.55) | 1.19*** (4.04) | 1.14*** (3.48) | 1.08* (2.29) | 1.05 (1.50) | 1.18*** (3.79) | 1.15*** (3.40) |
| Log % NBH member migration | 3.46*** (3.65) | 1.28 (.68) | 1.15 (.29) | 0.90 (.25) | 3.56*** (3.58) | 1.32 (.74) | 1.21 (.38) | 0.93 (.16) |
| Number of Non-Moves or Moves | 3684 | 376 | 103 | 155 | 3684 | 376 | 103 | 155 |
| Fit Statistics | ||||||||
| AIC: 5677.56 | AIC: 5677.56 | |||||||
| −2 Log L: 5669.56 | −2 Log L: 5669.56 | |||||||
Odds ratios (OR) shown. Z-statistics in parentheses.
Significance:
p<0.10
p<0.05
p<0.01
p<0.001
One-tailed tests for caste/ethnicity, two- tailed tests for controls.