Table 2.
HCC vs. Controls | Very‐Early‐Stage HCC (Single <2 cm) vs. Controls | AFP‐Negative HCC vs. Controls | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AUROC | Sensitivity | Specificity | AUROC | Sensitivity | Specificity | AUROC | Sensitivity | Specificity | |
(95% CI) | (%) | (%) | (95% CI) | (%) | (%) | (95% CI) | (%) | (%) | |
Training set | |||||||||
Multimarker Panel | 0.976 | 91.9 | 92.1 | 0.974 | 92.7 | 92.1 | 0.970 | 80.8 | 96.5 |
(0.967‐0.985) | (0.949‐0.979) | (0.958‐0.982) | |||||||
AFP | 0.804 | 40.4 | 98.3 | 0.772 | 38.5 | 98.3 | 0.686 | 0.0 | 100 |
(0.769‐0.839) | (0.714‐0.823) | (0.636‐0.736) | |||||||
P value* | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
Multimarker Panel + AFP | 0.981 | 94.6 | 91.5 | 0.981 | 96.3 | 91.5 | 0.971 | 82.5 | 95.7 |
(0.974‐0.989) | (0.970‐0.992) | (0.963‐0.985) | |||||||
P value † | 0.374 | 0.253 | 0.882 | 0.432 | 0.385 | 0.853 | 0.691 | 0.783 | 0.691 |
Validation set | |||||||||
Multimarker panel | 0.898 | 81.1 | 84.8 | 0.833 | 71.1 | 84.8 | 0.874 | 67.8 | 89.3 |
(0.863‐0.933) | (0.766‐0.901) | (0.829‐0.918) | |||||||
AFP | 0.778 | 26.8 | 98.8 | 0.777 | 18.2 | 98.8 | 0.707 | 0.0 | 100 |
(0.723‐0.833) | (0.697‐0.858) | (0.639‐0.774) | |||||||
P value* | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | 0.295 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
Multimarker Panel + AFP | 0.906 | 82.9 | 83.2 | 0.844 | 70.5 | 83.2 | 0.892 | 72.2 | 88.7 |
(0.723‐0.833) | (0.777‐0.912) | (0.851‐0.933) | |||||||
P value † | 0.751 | 0.912 | 0.989 | 0.821 | 0.864 | 0.800 | 0.007 | 0.630 | 0.993 |
Note: “Controls” indicates at‐risk populations with HBV, HCV, and LC in the training and the validation sets. “Very‐early‐stage HCC” indicates single tumor size <2 cm HCC. “AFP‐negative HCC” indicates serum AFP <20 ng/mL.
Multimarker panel versus AFP.
Combination of multimarker panel and AFP versus multimarker panel alone. P values less than 0.001 are shown as “<0.001.”