Table III.
Predictors of Klebsiella pneumoniae carbapenemase-producing organism (KPCO) infection vs colonization including multiple species
| Variable | Colonized (N=253) |
Infected (N=94) |
Univariate |
Multi-variate (all variables) |
Final multi-variate model |
||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/median | %/IQR | N/median | %/IQR | Odds ratio | 95% CI | P-value | Odds ratio | 95% CI | P-value | Odds ratio | 95% CI | P-value | |
| Congestive heart failure | 49 | 19% | 11 | 12% | 0.55 | (0.29–1.07) | 0.08 | 0.74 | (0.30–1.84) | 0.52 | |||
| Chronic lung disease | 53 | 21% | 11 | 12% | 0.50 | (0.25–0.99) | 0.05 | 0.69 | (0.28–1.72) | 0.42 | |||
| Chronic kidney disease | 64 | 25% | 31 | 33% | 1.45 | (0.89–2.38) | 0.14 | 2.06 | (0.79–5.34) | 0.14 | |||
| Metastatic malignancy | 6 | 2% | 7 | 7% | 3.31 | (1.29–8.48) | 0.01 | 5.75 | (0.85–38.95) | 0.07 | 4.26 | (1.27–14.25) | 0.02 |
| Diabetes with complication | 35 | 14% | 10 | 11% | 0.74 | (0.37–1.48) | 0.39 | 0.98 | (0.27–3.54) | 0.98 | |||
| Solid organ transplant | 19 | 8% | 15 | 16% | 2.34 | (1.15–4.74) | 0.02 | 3.23 | (0.94–11.12) | 0.06 | |||
| Female | 119 | 47% | 46 | 49% | 1.08 | (0.68–1.72) | 0.75 | 1.47 | (0.76–2.83) | 0.25 | 1.60 | (0.96–2.69) | 0.07 |
| Species, vs Klebsiella pneumoniae (reference)a | |||||||||||||
| Klebsiella pneumoniae | 68 | 27% | 25 | 27% | 1.00 | 1.00 | |||||||
| Aeromonas spp. | 11 | 4% | 7 | 7% | 1.73 | (0.61–4.90) | 0.30 | 1.37 | (0.46–4.03) | 0.57 | |||
| Citrobacter freundii | 43 | 17% | 10 | 11% | 0.63 | (0.28–1.44) | 0.28 | 0.58 | (0.20–1.70) | 0.32 | |||
| Klebsiella aerogenes | 3 | 1% | 4 | 4% | 3.63 | (0.74–17.72) | 0.11 | 3.78 | (0.58–24.52) | 0.16 | |||
| Enterobacter cloacae complex | 53 | 21% | 23 | 24% | 1.18 | (0.61–2.30) | 0.63 | 1.62 | (0.73–3.58) | 0.23 | |||
| Escherichia coli | 11 | 4% | 3 | 3% | 0.74 | (0.19–2.87) | 0.67 | 0.63 | (0.12–3.30) | 0.59 | |||
| Klebsiella oxytoca | 14 | 6% | 5 | 5% | 0.97 | (0.31–3.03) | 0.96 | 1.13 | (0.23–5.65) | 0.88 | |||
| Serratia marcescens | 50 | 20% | 17 | 18% | 0.92 | (0.45–1.90) | 0.83 | 0.45 | (0.17–1.18) | 0.10 | |||
| Charlson score | 2 | 0–4 | 2 | 0–4 | 1.03 | (0.96–1.12) | 0.40 | 0.97 | (0.78–1.20) | 0.76 | |||
| Age | 58 | 49–68 | 58.5 | 45–68 | 0.99 | (0.98–1.01) | 0.40 | 0.99 | (0.97–1.01) | 0.40 | |||
| Acute inpatient days | 20 | 11–33 | 28 | 14–46 | 1.02 | (1.01–1.03) | <0.001 | 1.02 | (0.99–1.05) | 0.20 | 1.02 | (1.00–1.04) | 0.04 |
| LTACH inpatient days | 0 | 0–0 | 0 | 0–0 | 0.99 | (0.97–1.01) | 0.34 | 1.00 | (0.97–1.04) | 0.82 | |||
| Any aminoglycoside | 21 | 8% | 13 | 14% | 1.77 | (0.94–3.35) | 0.08 | 2.13 | (0.52–8.69) | 0.29 | |||
| Aminoglycoside days | 0 | 0–0 | 0 | 0–0 | 1.24 | (0.97–1.59) | 0.08 | 0.65 | (0.24–1.74) | 0.39 | |||
| Any antifungal | 103 | 41% | 49 | 52% | 1.59 | (1.00–2.53) | 0.05 | 0.82 | (0.29–2.34) | 0.71 | |||
| Antifungal days | 0 | 0–7 | 2 | 0–17 | 1.03 | (1.01–1.05) | 0.003 | 1.00 | (0.94–1.06) | 0.97 | |||
| Any beta-lactam/beta-lactamase inhibitor | 131 | 52% | 50 | 53% | 1.06 | (0.66–1.69) | 0.81 | 0.92 | (0.43–1.97) | 0.83 | |||
| Beta-lactam/beta-lactamase inhibitor days | 1 | 0–7 | 1 | 0–6 | 0.99 | (0.95–1.02) | 0.46 | 0.94 | (0.88–1.01) | 0.08 | 0.94 | (0.90–0.98) | 0.004 |
| Any carbapenem | 56 | 22% | 32 | 34% | 1.82 | (1.09–3.01) | 0.02 | 1.10 | (0.33–3.64) | 0.87 | |||
| Carbapenem days | 0 | 0–0 | 0 | 0–7 | 1.09 | (1.04–1.14) | <0.001 | 1.03 | (0.90–1.17) | 0.69 | |||
| Any complex wound care | 120 | 47% | 55 | 59% | 1.56 | (0.98–2.50) | 0.06 | 1.11 | (0.52–2.38) | 0.78 | |||
| Complex wound care days | 0 | 0–2 | 1 | 0–3 | 1.15 | (1.03–1.29) | 0.02 | 1.16 | (0.90–1.48) | 0.25 | |||
| Any complex abdominal pathology | 29 | 11% | 26 | 28% | 2.95 | (1.68–5.18) | <0.001 | 2.19 | (0.91–5.24) | 0.08 | 2.51 | (1.26–4.99) | 0.009 |
| Any complex thoracic pathology | 41 | 16% | 19 | 20% | 1.31 | (0.72–2.38) | 0.38 | 0.52 | (0.16–1.66) | 0.27 | |||
| Complex thoracic pathology days | 0 | 0–0 | 0 | 0–0 | 1.24 | (0.84–1.85) | 0.28 | 1.53 | (0.30–7.73) | 0.60 | |||
| Any dialysis | 83 | 33% | 52 | 55% | 2.54 | (1.59–4.05) | <0.001 | 2.97 | (1.16–7.58) | 0.02 | 2.77 | (1.37–5.60) | 0.004 |
| Dialysis days | 0 | 0–3 | 1 | 0–4 | 1.02 | (0.99–1.06) | 0.14 | 0.91 | (0.85–0.98) | 0.007 | 0.94 | (0.90–0.98) | 0.003 |
| Any endoscopy | 68 | 27% | 31 | 33% | 1.34 | (0.82–2.19) | 0.24 | 0.53 | (0.23–1.22) | 0.14 | |||
| Endoscopy events | 0 | 0–1 | 0 | 0–1 | 1.26 | (0.99–1.60) | 0.06 | 1.50 | (0.78–2.86) | 0.22 | |||
| Any extended-spectrum cephalosporin | 141 | 56% | 63 | 67% | 1.61 | (0.99–2.63) | 0.05 | 1.02 | (0.48–2.18) | 0.95 | |||
| Extended-spectrum cephalosporin days | 1 | 0–7 | 3 | 0–17 | 1.04 | (1.01–1.07) | 0.003 | 1.00 | (0.94–1.07) | 0.98 | |||
| Any fluroquinolone | 64 | 25% | 39 | 41% | 2.09 | (1.29–3.41) | 0.003 | 1.13 | (0.53–2.42) | 0.76 | |||
| Fluoroquinolone days | 0 | 0–1 | 0 | 0–3 | 1.10 | (1.03–1.17) | 0.002 | 1.02 | (0.90–1.14) | 0.77 | |||
| Any enteral feeding | 156 | 62% | 64 | 68% | 1.33 | (0.82–2.15) | 0.25 | 1.02 | (0.43–2.46) | 0.96 | |||
| Enteral feeding days | 3 | 0–15 | 5 | 0–22 | 1.01 | (1.00–1.03) | 0.19 | 0.97 | (0.94–1.01) | 0.12 | |||
| Any urinary catheter | 58 | 23% | 24 | 26% | 1.15 | (0.67–1.98) | 0.61 | 1.85 | (0.90–3.83) | 0.10 | |||
| Urinary catheter days | 0 | 0–0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0.99 | (0.75–1.32) | 0.96 | 0.67 | (0.27–1.68) | 0.39 | |||
| Any central vascular access | 174 | 69% | 76 | 81% | 1.92 | (1.09–3.38) | 0.02 | 1.17 | (0.49–2.81) | 0.73 | |||
| Central vascular access events | 1 | 0–3 | 2 | 1–4 | 1.19 | (1.09–1.30) | <0.001 | 0.99 | (0.80–1.22) | 0.92 | |||
| Any mechanical ventilation | 160 | 63% | 69 | 73% | 1.60 | (0.96–2.67) | 0.07 | 1.44 | (0.59–3.56) | 0.42 | |||
| Mechanical ventilation days | 3 | 0–13 | 10 | 0–24 | 1.03 | (1.01–1.04) | 0.001 | 1.02 | (0.98–1.06) | 0.42 | |||
| Any transfusion | 184 | 73% | 71 | 76% | 1.16 | (0.68–1.98) | 0.59 | 0.29 | (0.13–0.64) | 0.002 | 0.41 | (0.20–0.80) | 0.004 |
| Transfusion events | 2 | 0–5 | 4.5 | 1–13 | 1.09 | (1.05–1.13) | <0.001 | 1.09 | (0.99–1.21) | 0.07 | 1.09 | (1.02–1.16) | 0.003 |
LTACH, long-term acute care hospital; CI, confidence interval.
Note: excluding isolates from other species, patients with human immunodeficiency virus and renal transplant patients as these predicted infection/colonization perfectly.
Some patients may have more than one isolate across species. The breakdown of isolates which caused an infection. Species which did not cause an infection were excluded as they perfectly predicted colonization alone.