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. 2020 May 1;15(5):e0232676. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0232676

Table 3. Crude and adjusted analyses of the association between the dietary contribution of ultra-processed food and indicators of obesity among the UK population aged 19 years or over (NDNS, 2008─16).

Consumption of ultra-processed foods (% of total energy)
Sex-specific quartile a p for trend α Continuous (10% increase in the consumption)
1 2 3 4
BMI (kg/m2)
 Mean (SE) 26.9 (0.2) 27.1 (0.2) 27.2 (0.3) 28.0 (0.3)
 Crude, coef (95% CI) 0 0.27 (-0.33; 0.87) 0.33 (-0.38; 1.04) 1.15 (0.37; 1.94) 0.006 0.29 (0.10; 0.48)
 Model 1b, coef (95% CI) 0 0.25 (-0.33; 0.83) 0.33 (-0.33; 0.99) 1.47 (0.73; 2.21) <0.001 0.35 (0.16; 0.53)
 Model 2c, coef (95% CI) 0 0.39 (-0.15; 0.94) 0.35 (-0.27; 0.97) 1.66 (0.96; 2.36) <0.001 0.38 (0.20; 0.55)
Waist circumference (cm)
 Mean (SE) 91.6 (0.6) 92.6 (0.6) 92.5 (0.8) 94.0 (0.9)
 Crude, coef (95% CI) 0 1.01 (-0.68; 2.70) 0.89 (-0.99; 2.77) 2.43 (0.33; 4.53) 0.034 0.79 (0.26; 1.31)
 Model 1b, coef (95% CI) 0 0.26 (-1.22; 1.74) 0.72 (-0.93; 2.37) 3.52 (1.66; 5.39) 0.001 0.80 (0.31; 1.28)
 Model 2c, coef (95% CI) 0 0.55 (-0.87; 1.98) 0.42 (-1.16; 2.01) 3.56 (1.79; 5.33) <0.001 0.87 (0.40; 1.33)
Obesityd
 Prevalence (SE) 22.8 (1.8) 24.7 (1.9) 27.3 (2.1) 31.6 (2.4)
 Crude, OR (95% CI) 1 1.11 (0.83; 1.48) 1.27 (0.95; 1.70) 1.56 (1.16; 2.11) 0.002 1.13 (1.05; 1.21)
 Model 1b, OR (95% CI) 1 1.11 (0.83; 1.50) 1.26 (0.94; 1.71) 1.71 (1.25; 2.33) 0.001 1.15 (1.06; 1.25)
 Model 2c, OR (95% CI) 1 1.19 (0.88; 1.61) 1.31 (0.97; 1.78) 1.90 (1.39; 2.61) <0.001 1.18 (1.08; 1.28)
Abdominal obesitye
 Prevalence (SE) 41.2 (2.2) 40.1 (2.1) 40.0 (2.3) 41.7 (2.4)
 Crude, OR (95% CI) 1 0.96 (0.75; 1.23) 0.95 (0.74; 1.23) 1.02 (0.79; 1.33) 0.903 1.01 (0.94; 1.07)
 Model 1b, OR (95% CI) 1 0.96 (0.74; 1.24) 0.96 (0.75; 1.27) 1.27 (0.96; 1.69) 0.132 1.05 (0.98; 1.13)
 Model 2c, OR (95% CI) 1 1.00 (0.77; 1.30) 0.99 (0.76; 1.29) 1.34 (1.00; 1.79) 0.076 1.06 (0.99; 1.14)

a Quarters of proportion of ultra-processed foods in total energy intake. Sex specific cut-offs for quarters of ultra-processed food consumption were 36.3%, 51.0%, 61.1% and 76.2% in men and 35.2%, 50.4%, 60.1% and 73.1% in women.

b Adjusted for sex, age, ethnicity, region, survey year, and social class occupation.

c Adjusted for Model 1 + physical activity (time spent at moderate or vigorous physical activity) + smoking + sleep duration + following a special diet.

d Defined as Body Mass Index ≥30 kg/m2 (World Health Organization, 2003).

e Defined as waist circumference ≥102/88 cm for men and women, respectively (World Health Organization, 2008).

α p value for linear trend across quartile of dietary contribution of ultra-processed foods.