Table 3.
Fixed-Effects Regression Models of Total Fertility Rate by Race/Ethnicity between 2006–2014 for All MSAs
| 2006–2014 | 2006–2010 | 2011–2014 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dependent Variable: Total Fertility Rate | Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | Model 4a | Model 4b |
| White, Non-Hispanic (381 MSAs; N=3429) | |||||
| % Goods-Producing Businesses | 0.021*** | 0.020*** | 0.019*** | 0.017*** | |
| (0.002) | (0.002) | (0.002) | (0.002) | ||
| Unemployment Rate (%) | −0.007*** | −0.003* | −0.004* | −0.003* | |
| (0.001) | (0.001) | (0.002) | (0.001) | ||
| Black, Non-Hispanic (380 MSAs; N=3394) | |||||
| % Goods-Producing Businesses | 0.022** | 0.019* | 0.019* | 0.015 | |
| (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.010) | ||
| Unemployment Rate (%) | −0.012* | −0.008 | −0.005 | −0.009 | |
| (0.005) | (0.006) | (0.007) | (0.006) | ||
| Asian, Non-Hispanic (381 MSAs; N=3394) | |||||
| % Goods-Producing Businesses | 0.027** | 0.022* | 0.022* | 0.027* | |
| (0.010) | (0.011) | (0.011) | (0.012) | ||
| Unemployment Rate (%) | −0.016* | −0.012 | −0.011 | −0.012 | |
| (0.007) | (0.007) | (0.009) | (0.007) | ||
| Hispanic (381 MSAs; N=3333) | |||||
| % Goods-Producing Businesses | 0.058*** | 0.046*** | 0.046*** | 0.037*** | |
| (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.009) | ||
| Unemployment Rate (%) | −0.036*** | −0.027*** | −0.033*** | −0.026*** | |
| (0.005) | (0.006) | (0.007) | (0.006) | ||
| MSA Controls | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Year Fixed Effects | Yes | Yes | Yes | No | No |
*
p<.05,
**
p<.01,
***
p<.001 (two-tailed tests)
Notes: (a) MSA-level covariates included in all models. Year fixed-effects included only in Model 1 through Model 3. Covariates include annual measures of logged population and per capita GDP. (b) All covariates are lagged one year. (c) Standard errors in parentheses.