Table A3.
Estimates and Standard Errors of Annual Crude Migration Probability of US Internal Migration by Age Group at State, County, and Tract Levels since 2005 in Consumer Credit Panel, American Community Survey, and Current Population Survey
Panel A. Young Adults (Age 25–29) | |||||||
State |
County/MIGPUMA |
Tract |
|||||
CCP | ACS | CPS | CCP | ACS | CPS | CCP | |
2005 | 0.0830 | 0.0502 | 0.0371 | 0.1755 | 0.1106 | 0.0836 | 0.3328 |
(0.0003) | (0.0007) | (0.0024) | (0.0004) | (0.0010) | (0.0035) | (0.0005) | |
2006 | 0.05670 | 0.0485 | 0.0331 | 0.1253 | 0.1094 | 0.0857 | 0.2531 |
(0.0002) | (0.0007) | (0.0021) | (0.0004) | (0.0010) | (0.0034) | (0.0005) | |
2007 | 0.0617 | 0.0480 | 0.0324 | 0.1335 | 0.1069 | 0.0793 | 0.2657 |
(0.0003) | (0.0007) | (0.0021) | (0.0004) | (0.0010) | (0.0033) | (0.0005) | |
2008 | 0.0592 | 0.0463 | 0.0320 | 0.1298 | 0.1033 | 0.0776 | 0.2612 |
(0.0002) | (0.0007) | (0.0021) | (0.0004) | (0.0010) | (0.0032) | (0.0005) | |
2009 | 0.0527 | 0.0449 | 0.0370 | 0.1135 | 0.0988 | 0.0801 | 0.2276 |
(0.0002) | (0.0006) | (0.0022) | (0.0003) | (0.0009) | (0.0032) | (0.0004) | |
2010 | 0.0498 | 0.0440 | 0.0316 | 0.1073 | 0.0979 | 0.0699 | 0.2251 |
(0.0002) | (0.0006) | (0.0020) | (0.0003) | (0.0009) | (0.0030) | (0.0004) | |
2011 | 0.0520 | 0.0458 | 0.0314 | 0.1099 | 0.0975 | 0.0719 | 0.2301 |
(0.0002) | (0.0007) | (0.0021) | (0.0003) | (0.0010) | (0.0031) | (0.0004) | |
2012 | 0.0551 | 0.0450 | 0.0364 | 0.1166 | 0.0946 | 0.0757 | 0.2320 |
(0.0002) | (0.0007) | (0.0023) | (0.0003) | (0.0009) | (0.0033) | (0.0004) | |
2013 | 0.0447 | 0.0480 | 0.0346 | 0.0984 | 0.1009 | 0.0784 | 0.2048 |
(0.0002) | (0.0007) | (0.0022) | (0.0003) | (0.0009) | (0.0034) | (0.0004) | |
2014 | 0.0443 | 0.0465 | 0.0333 | 0.0994 | 0.0982 | 0.0697 | 0.2071 |
(0.0002) | (0.0006) | (0.0029) | (0.0003) | (0.0009) | (0.0040) | (0.0004) | |
2015 | 0.0484 | 0.0478 | 0.0301 | 0.1090 | 0.0999 | 0.0709 | 0.2188 |
(0.0002) | (0.0007) | (0.0021) | (0.0003) | (0.0009) | (0.0033) | (0.0004) | |
2016 | 0.0482 | 0.0457 | 0.0361 | 0.1072 | 0.0988 | 0.084 | 0.2200 |
(0.0002) | (0.0006) | (0.0026) | (0.0003) | (0.0009) | (0.0038) | (0.0004) | |
2017 | 0.0480 | 0.0466 | 0.0395 | 0.1067 | 0.0999 | 0.0808 | 0.2238 |
(0.0002) | (0.0006) | (0.0026) | (0.0003) | (0.0009) | (0.0036) | (0.0004) | |
2018 | 0.0589 | 0.0287 | 0.1252 | 0.0646 | 0.2379 | ||
(0.0003) | (0.0023) | (0.0004) | (0.0035) | (0.0005) | |||
2019 | 0.0548 | 0.1191 | 0.2310 | ||||
(0.0002) | (0.0004) | (0.0005) | |||||
Panel B. Family Age (Age 30–49) | |||||||
State |
County/MIGPUMA |
Tract |
|||||
CCP | ACS | CPS | CCP | ACS | CPS | CCP | |
2005 | 0.0472 | 0.0248 | 0.0181 | 0.0978 | 0.0518 | 0.0396 | 0.2032 |
(0.0001) | (0.0002) | (0.0007) | (0.0001) | (0.0003) | (0.0011) | (0.0002) | |
2006 | 0.0299 | 0.0255 | 0.0192 | 0.0649 | 0.0526 | 0.0445 | 0.1444 |
(0.0001) | (0.0002) | (0.0008) | (0.0001) | (0.0003) | (0.0012) | (0.0002) | |
2007 | 0.0320 | 0.0241 | 0.0161 | 0.0684 | 0.0490 | 0.0382 | 0.1505 |
(0.0001) | (0.0002) | (0.0007) | (0.0001) | (0.0003) | (0.0011) | (0.0002) | |
2008 | 0.0298 | 0.0229 | 0.0154 | 0.0642 | 0.0474 | 0.0337 | 0.1415 |
(0.0001) | (0.0002) | (0.0007) | (0.0001) | (0.0003) | (0.0010) | (0.0002) | |
2009 | 0.0265 | 0.0214 | 0.0153 | 0.0560 | 0.0451 | 0.0331 | 0.1220 |
(0.0001) | (0.0002) | (0.0007) | (0.0001) | (0.0003) | (0.0010) | (0.0002) | |
2010 | 0.0251 | 0.0206 | 0.0134 | 0.0540 | 0.0446 | 0.0307 | 0.1278 |
(0.0001) | (0.0002) | (0.0006) | (0.0001) | (0.0003) | (0.0010) | (0.0002) | |
2011 | 0.0261 | 0.0220 | 0.0155 | 0.0557 | 0.0463 | 0.0321 | 0.1352 |
(0.0001) | (0.0002) | (0.0007) | (0.0001) | (0.0003) | (0.0011) | (0.0002) | |
2012 | 0.0279 | 0.0222 | 0.0157 | 0.0594 | 0.0457 | 0.0353 | 0.1332 |
(0.0001) | (0.0002) | (0.0007) | (0.0001) | (0.0003) | (0.0011) | (0.0002) | |
2013 | 0.0232 | 0.0226 | 0.0165 | 0.0512 | 0.0467 | 0.0369 | 0.1187 |
(0.0001) | (0.0002) | (0.0007) | (0.0001) | (0.0003) | (0.0011) | (0.0002) | |
2014 | 0.0236 | 0.0235 | 0.0147 | 0.0534 | 0.0481 | 0.0329 | 0.1233 |
(0.0001) | (0.0002) | (0.0009) | (0.0001) | (0.0003) | (0.0013) | (0.0002) | |
2015 | 0.0266 | 0.0238 | 0.0179 | 0.0619 | 0.0485 | 0.0358 | 0.1343 |
(0.0001) | (0.0002) | (0.0009) | (0.0001) | (0.0003) | (0.0012) | (0.0002) | |
2016 | 0.0271 | 0.0237 | 0.017 | 0.0604 | 0.0486 | 0.0373 | 0.1367 |
(0.0001) | (0.0002) | (0.0009) | (0.0001) | (0.0003) | (0.0012) | (0.0002) | |
2017 | 0.0271 | 0.0236 | 0.0176 | 0.0606 | 0.0495 | 0.0367 | 0.1416 |
(0.0001) | (0.0002) | (0.0008) | (0.0001) | (0.0003) | (0.0012) | (0.0002) | |
2018 | 0.0331 | 0.0147 | 0.0715 | 0.0338 | 0.1491 | ||
(0.0001) | (0.0008) | (0.0001) | (0.0012) | (0.0002) | |||
2019 | 0.0313 | 0.0693 | 0.1482 | ||||
(0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0002) | |||||
Panel C. Older Adults (Age 50–74) | |||||||
State |
County/MIGPUMA |
Tract |
|||||
CCP | ACS | CPS | CCP | ACS | CPS | CCP | |
2005 | 0.0373 | 0.0150 | 0.0099 | 0.0705 | 0.0286 | 0.0190 | 0.1321 |
(0.0001) | (0.0002) | (0.0006) | (0.0001) | (0.0003) | (0.0009) | (0.0002) | |
2006 | 0.0195 | 0.0149 | 0.0086 | 0.0399 | 0.0286 | 0.0194 | 0.0834 |
(0.0001) | (0.0002) | (0.0006) | (0.0001) | (0.0002) | (0.0009) | (0.0001) | |
2007 | 0.0202 | 0.0134 | 0.0081 | 0.0414 | 0.0260 | 0.0175 | 0.0863 |
(0.0001) | (0.0002) | (0.0005) | (0.0001) | (0.0002) | (0.0008) | (0.0001) | |
2008 | 0.0177 | 0.0124 | 0.0074 | 0.0364 | 0.0243 | 0.0160 | 0.0754 |
(0.0001) | (0.0002) | (0.0005) | (0.0001) | (0.0002) | (0.0008) | (0.0001) | |
2009 | 0.0157 | 0.0115 | 0.0064 | 0.0318 | 0.0229 | 0.0138 | 0.0652 |
(0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0005) | (0.0001) | (0.0002) | (0.0007) | (0.0001) | |
2010 | 0.0150 | 0.0122 | 0.0070 | 0.0310 | 0.0235 | 0.0150 | 0.0723 |
(0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0005) | (0.0001) | (0.0002) | (0.0007) | (0.0001) | |
2011 | 0.0144 | 0.0123 | 0.0071 | 0.0296 | 0.0244 | 0.0143 | 0.0760 |
(0.0001) | (0.0002) | (0.0005) | (0.0001) | (0.0002) | (0.0007) | (0.0001) | |
2012 | 0.0148 | 0.0125 | 0.0069 | 0.0303 | 0.0243 | 0.0157 | 0.0672 |
(0.0001) | (0.0002) | (0.0005) | (0.0001) | (0.0002) | (0.0008) | (0.0001) | |
2013 | 0.0121 | 0.0128 | 0.0072 | 0.0258 | 0.0253 | 0.0155 | 0.0570 |
(0.0001) | (0.0002) | (0.0005) | (0.0001) | (0.0002) | (0.0007) | (0.0001) | |
2014 | 0.0118 | 0.0132 | 0.0079 | 0.0256 | 0.0258 | 0.0164 | 0.0577 |
(0.0001) | (0.0002) | (0.0006) | (0.0001) | (0.0002) | (0.0009) | (0.0001) | |
2015 | 0.0126 | 0.0137 | 0.0076 | 0.0310 | 0.0266 | 0.0161 | 0.0625 |
(0.0001) | (0.0002) | (0.0005) | (0.0001) | (0.0002) | (0.0007) | (0.0001) | |
2016 | 0.0133 | 0.0137 | 0.0072 | 0.0286 | 0.0269 | 0.0156 | 0.0630 |
(0.0001) | (0.0002) | (0.0005) | (0.0001) | (0.0002) | (0.0008) | (0.0001) | |
2017 | 0.0133 | 0.0135 | 0.0075 | 0.0287 | 0.0272 | 0.0159 | 0.0679 |
(0.0001) | (0.0002) | (0.0005) | (0.0001) | (0.0002) | (0.0008) | (0.0001) | |
2018 | 0.0165 | 0.0073 | 0.0344 | 0.0175 | 0.0692 | ||
(0.0001) | (0.0006) | (0.0001) | (0.0009) | (0.0001) | |||
2019 | 0.0161 | 0.0342 | 0.0709 | ||||
(0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) |
Notes: Selection criteria for analysis provided in Table 1. CCP = Consumer Credit Panel; ACS = American Community Survey; CPS = Current Population Survey. Due to data limitations, county ACS estimates reflect Public Use Microdata Areas for Migration (MIGPUMAs), not counties. ACS and CPS estimates are weighted.