Table 1. Parameter estimates and credible intervals of generation and serial interval distributions of COVID-19 using reported information on infector-infectee pairs and assuming an incubation period with a mean of 5.2 and a SD of 2.8 days, Singapore, 21 January–26 February 2020; Tianjin, China, 14 January–27 February 2020.
Dataset | Scenario | Interval | Estimate (95% credible interval) (days) | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Mean | SD | |||
Singaporea | Baseline | GI | 5.20 (3.78 - 6.78) | 1.72 (0.91 - 3.93) |
SI | 5.21 (−3.35 - 13.94) | 4.32 (4.06 - 5.58) | ||
Tianjin (China)b | Baseline | GI | 3.95 (3.01 - 4.91) | 1.51 (0.74 - 2.97) |
SI | 3.95 (−4.47 - 12.51) | 4.24 (4.03 - 4.95) |
COVID-19: coronavirus disease; GI: generation interval; SD: standard deviation; SI: serial interval.
a Source: Ministry of Health (https://www.moh.gov.sg/news-highlights/, as at 26 February).
b Source: Tianjin Municipal Health Commission (http://www.tjbd.gov.cn/zjbd/gsgg/, as at 27 February).