Table 1. Estimation of the daily number of COVID-19 cases requiring treatment in an intensive care unit (ICU) in Germany from 11 April to 30 June 2020 (assuming 8 days from report to need for intensive care)*.
Trend | Need for ICU care (%) | Maximum number of COVID-19 cases needing ICU care | Date |
Linear Average ICU stay 14 days |
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 |
1989 2652 3315 3978 4641 5304 5967 6630 |
14 April |
Average ICU stay 20 days |
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 |
2790 3720 4650 5580 6510 7440 8370 9300 |
20 April |
Slow quadratic Average ICU stay 14 days |
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 |
3132 4176 5221 6265 7309 8353 9397 10 441 |
30 June |
Average ICU stay 20 days |
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 |
4385 5846 7308 8770 10 231 11 693 13 154 14 616 |
|
Fast quadratic Average ICU stay 14 days |
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 |
4529 6038 7548 9058 10 567 12 077 13 587 15 096 |
30 June |
Average ICU stay 20 days |
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 |
6290 8386 10 483 12 580 14 676 16 773 18 869 20 966 |
* Maximum daily COVID-19 cases within the time interval; if the maximum extends over a longer period, the first date of occurrence of the maximum is presented