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. 2020 May 8;117(19):329–335. doi: 10.3238/arztebl.2020.0329

Table 2. Number of intensive care unit (ICU) beds needed per day in relation to the daily number of new COVID-19 cases, the proportion of patients requiring intensive care, and the length of ICU stay.

Daily number of new cases Need for intensive care (%) Length of ICU stay ICU beds needed per day Proportion of overall ICU bed capacity in Germany (%) Length of ICU stay ICU beds needed per day Proportion of overall ICU bed capacity in Germany (%)
4133 3 14 days 1736 6 20 days 2480 8
8000 3360 11 4800 16
12 000 5040 17 7200 24
16 000 6720 22 9600 32
20 000 8400 28 12 000 40
40 000 16 800 56 24 000 80
4133 4 14 days 2314 8 20 days 3306 11
8000 4480 15 6400 21
12 000 6720 22 9600 32
16 000 8960 30 12 800 43
20 000 11 200 37 16 000 53
40 000 22 400 75 32 000 107
4133 5 14 days 2893 10 20 days 4133 14
8000 5600 19 8000 27
12 000 8400 28 12 000 40
16 000 11 200 37 16 000 53
20 000 14 000 47 20 000 67
40 000 28 000 93 40 000 133
4133 6 14 days 3472 12 20 days 4960 17
8000 6720 22 9600 32
12 000 10 080 34 14 400 48
16 000 13 440 45 19 200 64
20 000 16 800 56 24 000 80
40 000 33 600 112 48 000 160
4133 7 14 days 4050 13 20 days 5786 19
8000 7840 26 11 200 37
12 000 11 760 39 16 800 56
16 000 15 680 52 22 400 75
20 000 19 600 65 28 000 93
40 000 39 200 131 56 000 187
4133 8 14 days 4629 15 20 days 6613 22
8000 8960 30 12 800 43
12 000 13 440 45 19 200 64
16 000 17 920 60 25 600 85
20 000 22 400 75 32 000 107
40 000 44 800 149 64 000 213
4133 9 14 days 5208 17 20 days 7439 25
8000 10 080 34 14 400 48
12 000 15 120 50 21 600 72
16 000 20 160 67 28 800 96
20 000 25 200 84 36 000 120
40 000 50 400 168 72 000 240
4133 10 14 days 5786 19 20 days 8266 28
8000 11 200 37 16 000 53
12 000 16 800 56 24 000 80
16 000 22 400 75 32 000 107
20 000 28 000 93 40 000 133
40 000 56 000 187 80 000 267

* Newly reported COVID-19 case as of 10 April 2020: n=4.133; all calculations assume that the daily number of newly reported cases remains constant over time; the total ICU bed capacity in Germany is assumed to be n=30 005 beds.