Mortality in all cancer patients during the active study period | ESA arm | Control arm | ESA versus control | |||||||
Patients | events | sample | % | events | sample | % | HR | 95% CI | P value* | |
Patient level characteristics | ||||||||||
Hb at baseline (continuous) | 0.82 | |||||||||
Hb at baseline (cat. 1) | 0.75 | |||||||||
Hb ≤ 8 g/dL | 791 | 90 | 448 | 20% | 58 | 343 | 17% | 1.28 | 0.92‐1.78 | |
Hb 8‐≤ 10 g/dL | 3930 | 292 | 2222 | 13% | 239 | 1708 | 14% | 1.08 | 0.91‐1.28 | |
Hb 10‐≤ 12 g/dL | 5004 | 300 | 2851 | 11% | 220 | 2153 | 10% | 1.22 | 1.03‐1.46 | |
Hb 12‐≤ 14 g/dL | 2843 | 141 | 1433 | 10% | 114 | 1410 | 8% | 1.28 | 1.00‐1.64 | |
Hb > 14 g/dL | 839 | 37 | 428 | 9% | 30 | 411 | 7% | 1.06 | 0.66‐1.72 | |
Unknown | 526 | 5 | 252 | 2% | 4 | 274 | 1% | 0.91 | 0.24‐3.40 | |
Hb at baseline (cat. 2) | 0.79 | |||||||||
Hb ≤ 8 g/dL | 791 | 90 | 448 | 20% | 58 | 343 | 17% | 1.28 | 0.92‐1.79 | |
Hb 8‐≤ 9 g/dL | 1319 | 117 | 742 | 16% | 101 | 577 | 18% | 1.05 | 0.81‐1.38 | |
Hb 9‐≤ 10 g/dL | 2611 | 175 | 1480 | 12% | 138 | 1131 | 12% | 1.11 | 0.89‐1.39 | |
Hb 10‐≤ 11 g/dL | 2927 | 188 | 1699 | 11% | 121 | 1228 | 10% | 1.34 | 1.07‐1.69 | |
Hb 11‐≤ 12 g/dL | 2077 | 112 | 1152 | 10% | 99 | 925 | 11% | 1.07 | 0.82‐1.41 | |
Hb 12‐≤ 13 g/dL | 1739 | 92 | 873 | 11% | 80 | 866 | 9% | 1.22 | 0.90‐1.64 | |
Hb 13‐≤ 14 g/dL | 1104 | 49 | 560 | 9% | 34 | 544 | 6% | 1.45 | 0.93‐2.24 | |
Hb >14 g/dL | 839 | 37 | 428 | 9% | 30 | 411 | 7% | 1.06 | 0.65‐1.72 | |
Unknown | 526 | 5 | 252 | 2% | 4 | 274 | 1% | 0.92 | 0.25‐3.44 | |
Malignancy type | ||||||||||
Tumour (cat. 1) | 0.16 | |||||||||
Haematological malignancies | 2403 | 128 | 1400 | 9% | 79 | 1003 | 8% | 1.20 | 0.91‐1.60 | |
Solid tumours | 10795 | 684 | 5848 | 12% | 532 | 4947 | 11% | 1.20 | 1.07‐1.35 | |
Other | 693 | 49 | 369 | 13% | 51 | 324 | 16% | 0.81 | 0.54‐1.20 | |
Missing / unknown | 42 | 4 | 17 | 24% | 3 | 25 | 12% | 1.99 | 0.44‐8.94 | |
Tumour (cat. 2) | 0.47 | |||||||||
Haematological malignancies | 2403 | 128 | 1400 | 9% | 79 | 1003 | 8% | 1.19 | 0.90‐1.59 | |
Breast cancer | 4302 | 224 | 2245 | 10% | 164 | 2057 | 8% | 1.34 | 1.10‐1.65 | |
Head and neck cancer | 868 | 23 | 443 | 5% | 20 | 425 | 5% | 1.13 | 0.62‐2.07 | |
Lung cancer | 3076 | 292 | 1618 | 18% | 243 | 1458 | 17% | 1.17 | 0.99‐1.39 | |
Gastrointestinal cancer | 708 | 61 | 434 | 14% | 44 | 274 | 16% | 0.96 | 0.65‐1.42 | |
Gynaecological cancer | 1399 | 40 | 842 | 5% | 27 | 557 | 5% | 1.18 | 0.72‐1.94 | |
Genitourinary cancer | 442 | 44 | 266 | 17% | 34 | 176 | 19% | 1.02 | 0.65‐1.60 | |
Other | 693 | 49 | 369 | 13% | 51 | 324 | 16% | 0.81 | 0.54‐1.20 | |
Missing / unknown | 42 | 4 | 17 | 24% | 3 | 25 | 12% | 1.96 | 0.44‐8.79 | |
Sex | ||||||||||
Male | 5136 | 419 | 2854 | 15% | 309 | 2282 | 14% | 1.15 | 0.99‐1.34 | 0.86 |
Female | 8797 | 446 | 4780 | 9% | 356 | 4017 | 9% | 1.17 | 1.02‐1.35 | |
Age | ||||||||||
Age continuous | 0.87 | |||||||||
Age categorical | 0.50 | |||||||||
< 18 years | 123 | 0 | 55 | 0% | 1 | 68 | 1% | Not estimable | Not estimable | |
≥18‐35 years | 346 | 11 | 191 | 6% | 9 | 155 | 6% | 0.83 | 0.34‐2.01 | |
≥35‐45 years | 1343 | 57 | 745 | 8% | 34 | 598 | 6% | 1.36 | 0.89‐2.08 | |
≥45‐55 years | 3010 | 162 | 1614 | 10% | 111 | 1396 | 8% | 1.34 | 1.05‐1.71 | |
≥55‐65 years | 4193 | 256 | 2237 | 11% | 222 | 1956 | 11% | 1.07 | 0.89‐1.28 | |
≥65‐75 years | 3517 | 271 | 1970 | 14% | 210 | 1547 | 14% | 1.16 | 0.97‐1.39 | |
≥75 years | 1389 | 108 | 816 | 13% | 77 | 573 | 13% | 1.27 | 0.94‐1.70 | |
Missing | 12 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 1 | 6 | 17% | Not estimable | Not estimable | |
Hct levels at baseline | ||||||||||
Hct continuous | 0.57 | |||||||||
Hct categorical | 0.01 | |||||||||
≤23.5% | 390 | 55 | 210 | 26% | 24 | 180 | 13% | 2.19 | 1.35‐3.55 | |
23.5‐≤ 29.4% | 2788 | 199 | 1567 | 13% | 191 | 1221 | 16% | 0.96 | 0.78‐1.17 | |
29.4‐≤ 35.3% | 4615 | 321 | 2692 | 12% | 223 | 1923 | 12% | 1.17 | 0.99‐1.39 | |
35.3‐≤ 41.2% | 2458 | 176 | 1258 | 14% | 130 | 1200 | 11% | 1.41 | 1.12‐1.76 | |
> 41.2% | 785 | 48 | 414 | 12% | 40 | 371 | 11% | 1.12 | 0.73‐1.70 | |
Missing | 2897 | 66 | 1493 | 4% | 57 | 1404 | 4% | 1.09 | 0.76‐1.55 | |
Serum Epo at baseline | ||||||||||
Serum Epo continuous | 0.21 | |||||||||
Serum Epo categorical | 0.54 | |||||||||
<25 mU/ml | 1497 | 95 | 876 | 11% | 58 | 621 | 9% | 1.33 | 0.96‐1.85 | |
25‐<100 mU/ml | 2908 | 195 | 1643 | 12% | 171 | 1265 | 14% | 0.98 | 0.80‐1.21 | |
100‐<200 mU/ml | 740 | 73 | 451 | 16% | 47 | 289 | 16% | 1.08 | 0.75‐1.57 | |
200‐<500 mU/ml | 325 | 29 | 190 | 15% | 19 | 135 | 14% | 1.29 | 0.72‐2.31 | |
> 500 mU/ml | 181 | 21 | 103 | 20% | 10 | 78 | 13% | 1.26 | 0.59‐2.69 | |
Unknown | 8282 | 452 | 4371 | 10% | 360 | 3911 | 9% | 1.23 | 1.07‐1.41 | |
Performance score | ||||||||||
ECOG categorical | 0.63 | |||||||||
ECOG 0 | 3392 | 86 | 1808 | 5% | 76 | 1584 | 5% | 1.15 | 0.85‐1.57 | |
ECOG 1 | 4900 | 327 | 2779 | 12% | 250 | 2121 | 12% | 1.14 | 0.97‐1.35 | |
ECOG 2 | 1678 | 241 | 933 | 26% | 178 | 745 | 24% | 1.21 | 1.00‐1.47 | |
ECOG 3 | 139 | 26 | 77 | 34% | 18 | 62 | 29% | 1.30 | 0.71‐2.39 | |
ECOG 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 0% | Not estimable | Not estimable | |
ECOG missing | 3821 | 184 | 2035 | 9% | 143 | 1786 | 8% | 1.12 | 0.90‐1.39 | |
ECOG dichotomous | 0.56 | |||||||||
ECOG 0, 1, 2 | 10083 | 655 | 5578 | 12% | 505 | 4505 | 11% | 1.18 | 1.05‐1.33 | |
ECOG 3, 4 | 142 | 27 | 79 | 34% | 18 | 63 | 29% | 1.42 | 0.78‐2.59 | |
ECOG missing | 3708 | 183 | 1977 | 9% | 142 | 1731 | 8% | 1.12 | 0.89‐1.39 | |
Body mass index | ||||||||||
≤ 19 kg/m² | 865 | 76 | 424 | 18% | 73 | 441 | 17% | 1.00 | 0.73‐1.39 | 0.72 |
19‐ ≤25 kg/m² | 5487 | 374 | 2964 | 13% | 277 | 2523 | 11% | 1.21 | 1.04‐1.42 | |
25‐≤ 30 kg/m² | 3443 | 193 | 1864 | 10% | 144 | 1579 | 9% | 1.14 | 0.92‐1.42 | |
> 30 kg/m² | 1650 | 74 | 867 | 9% | 56 | 783 | 7% | 1.26 | 0.89‐1.79 | |
Missing | 2488 | 148 | 1515 | 10% | 115 | 973 | 12% | 1.22 | 0.95‐1.57 | |
History of thromboembolic events | ||||||||||
Yes | 561 | 40 | 318 | 13% | 42 | 243 | 17% | 0.80 | 0.52‐1.23 | 0.06 |
No | 9059 | 637 | 5044 | 13% | 474 | 4015 | 12% | 1.23 | 1.09‐1.39 | |
Missing / not reported | 4313 | 188 | 2272 | 8% | 149 | 2041 | 7% | 1.09 | 0.87‐1.35 | |
History of cardiovascular events | ||||||||||
Yes | 3593 | 273 | 2002 | 14% | 197 | 1591 | 12% | 1.24 | 1.03‐1.49 | 0.62 |
No | 6729 | 404 | 3700 | 11% | 319 | 3029 | 11% | 1.17 | 1.01‐1.35 | |
Missing / not reported | 3611 | 188 | 1932 | 10% | 149 | 1679 | 9% | 1.09 | 0.87‐1.35 | |
History of hypertension | ||||||||||
Yes | 2093 | 140 | 1219 | 11% | 107 | 874 | 12% | 1.15 | 0.90‐1.49 | 0.76 |
No | 7527 | 537 | 4143 | 13% | 409 | 3384 | 12% | 1.21 | 1.06‐1.37 | |
Missing / not reported | 4313 | 188 | 2272 | 8% | 149 | 2041 | 7% | 1.09 | 0.88‐1.35 | |
History of diabetes mellitus | ||||||||||
Yes | 709 | 62 | 372 | 17% | 56 | 337 | 17% | 1.12 | 0.78‐1.61 | 0.70 |
No | 7316 | 555 | 3927 | 14% | 427 | 3389 | 13% | 1.21 | 1.06‐1.37 | |
Missing / not reported | 5908 | 248 | 3335 | 7% | 182 | 2573 | 7% | 1.11 | 0.91‐1.34 | |
Geographical region | ||||||||||
Northern America | 3569 | 184 | 2004 | 9% | 159 | 1565 | 10% | 1.08 | 0.87‐1.34 | 0.17 |
Northern, Western & Southern Europe | 7440 | 403 | 4030 | 10% | 320 | 3410 | 9% | 1.08 | 0.93‐1.26 | |
Eastern Europe | 1955 | 234 | 1030 | 23% | 151 | 925 | 16% | 1.44 | 1.17‐1.77 | |
Australia & New Zealand | 342 | 20 | 216 | 9% | 11 | 126 | 9% | 1.42 | 0.68‐2.97 | |
Other | 226 | 13 | 123 | 11% | 13 | 103 | 13% | 0.90 | 0.42‐1.93 | |
Missing / not reported | 401 | 11 | 231 | 5% | 11 | 170 | 6% | 0.98 | 0.42‐2.26 | |
Tumour stage | ||||||||||
Metastatic / advanced | 8113 | 692 | 4482 | 15% | 527 | 3631 | 15% | 1.20 | 1.07‐1.34 | 0.76 |
Not metastatic / not advanced | 4039 | 63 | 2116 | 3% | 45 | 1923 | 2% | 1.28 | 0.87‐1.87 | |
Missing / not reported | 1781 | 110 | 1036 | 11% | 93 | 745 | 12% | 0.92 | 0.69‐1.22 | |
Planned Hb ceiling | ||||||||||
Planned Hb ceiling (cat. 1) | 0.98 | |||||||||
≤Hb 13.0 g/dL | 3043 | 209 | 1624 | 13% | 157 | 1419 | 11% | 1.19 | 0.97‐1.47 | |
Hb 13.0 ‐ ≤15.0 g/dL | 10193 | 599 | 5631 | 11% | 468 | 4562 | 10% | 1.16 | 1.03‐1.32 | |
Hb >15.0 g/dL | 494 | 29 | 259 | 11% | 23 | 235 | 10% | 1.22 | 0.70‐2.11 | |
Other | 203 | 28 | 120 | 23% | 17 | 83 | 20% | 1.12 | 0.61‐2.06 | |
Planned Hb ceiling (cat. 2) | 0.88 | |||||||||
≤Hb 13.0 g/dL | 3043 | 209 | 1624 | 13% | 157 | 1419 | 11% | 1.19 | 0.97‐1.47 | |
Hb 13.0 – ≤14.0 g/dL | 6816 | 381 | 3733 | 10% | 322 | 3083 | 10% | 1.12 | 0.97‐1.31 | |
Hb 14.0 – ≤15.0 g/dL | 3377 | 218 | 1898 | 11% | 146 | 1479 | 10% | 1.25 | 1.01‐1.54 | |
>Hb 15.0 g/dL | 494 | 29 | 259 | 11% | 23 | 235 | 10% | 1.22 | 0.70‐2.11 | |
Other | 203 | 28 | 120 | 23% | 17 | 83 | 20% | 1.12 | 0.61‐2.06 | |
Study level characteristics | ||||||||||
Treatment population | ||||||||||
Treatment population (cat. 1) | ||||||||||
Chemotherapy | 10441 | 605 | 5676 | 11% | 490 | 4765 | 10% | 1.10 | 0.98‐1.24 | 0.42 |
Radiochemotherapy | 737 | 31 | 368 | 8% | 20 | 369 | 5% | 1.50 | 0.85‐2.63 | |
Radiotherapy | 799 | 19 | 408 | 5% | 12 | 391 | 3% | 1.52 | 0.74‐3.14 | |
Mixed | 266 | 17 | 175 | 10% | 7 | 91 | 8% | 1.53 | 0.63‐3.69 | |
None | 1690 | 193 | 1007 | 19% | 136 | 683 | 20% | 1.33 | 1.06‐1.66 | |
Treatment population (cat. 2) | ||||||||||
Chemotherapy | 10441 | 605 | 5676 | 11% | 490 | 4765 | 10% | 1.10 | 0.98‐1.24 | 0.27 |
Radiotherapy / radiochemotherapy | 1536 | 50 | 776 | 6% | 32 | 760 | 4% | 1.51 | 0.97‐2.35 | |
Mixed | 266 | 17 | 175 | 10% | 7 | 91 | 8% | 1.53 | 0.63‐3.69 | |
None | 1690 | 193 | 1007 | 19% | 136 | 683 | 20% | 1.33 | 1.06‐1.66 | |
Iron supplementation | ||||||||||
Fixed iron supplementation | 2589 | 71 | 1293 | 5% | 60 | 1296 | 5% | 1.17 | 0.83‐1.65 | 0.48 |
Iron supplementation as needed | 11120 | 778 | 6232 | 12% | 584 | 4888 | 12% | 1.18 | 1.06‐1.32 | |
Other | 224 | 16 | 109 | 15% | 21 | 115 | 18% | 0.79 | 0.41‐1.51 | |
Planned ESA treatment duration | ||||||||||
Up to 8 weeks | 415 | 21 | 256 | 8% | 17 | 159 | 11% | 0.96 | 0.50‐1.84 | 0.33 |
9‐16 weeks | 4800 | 244 | 2738 | 9% | 204 | 2062 | 10% | 1.08 | 0.89‐1.30 | |
> 17 weeks | 3269 | 388 | 1701 | 23% | 286 | 1568 | 18% | 1.30 | 1.12‐1.52 | |
Until end of chemo‐ or radiotherapy | 5449 | 212 | 2939 | 7% | 158 | 2510 | 6% | 1.09 | 0.88‐1.34 | |
Planned weekly ESA dosage | ||||||||||
< 100 µg Darbepoetin or < 40000 IU Epoetin | 4197 | 238 | 2297 | 10% | 193 | 1900 | 10% | 0.98 | 0.81‐1.19 | 0.12 |
= 100 µg Darbepoetin or = 40000 IU Epoetin | 3081 | 240 | 1545 | 16% | 190 | 1536 | 12% | 1.36 | 1.12‐1.64 | |
> 100 µg Darbepoetin or > 40000 IU Epoetin | 3845 | 250 | 2076 | 12% | 184 | 1769 | 10% | 1.23 | 1.01‐1.49 | |
Other | 2810 | 137 | 1716 | 8% | 98 | 1094 | 9% | 1.11 | 0.85‐1.45 | |
Planned frequency of ESA application | ||||||||||
Three times per week or more frequent | 6131 | 311 | 3458 | 9% | 238 | 2673 | 9% | 1.01 | 0.85‐1.20 | 0.03 |
Once per week | 3948 | 303 | 1972 | 15% | 231 | 1976 | 12% | 1.40 | 1.18‐1.66 | |
Every second week or less frequent | 3036 | 180 | 1795 | 10% | 122 | 1241 | 10% | 1.25 | 0.99‐1.57 | |
Other | 818 | 71 | 409 | 17% | 74 | 409 | 18% | 0.93 | 0.67‐1.29 | |
Placebo controlled trial | ||||||||||
Yes | 7657 | 594 | 4211 | 14% | 456 | 3446 | 13% | 1.21 | 1.07‐1.37 | 0.38 |
No | 6276 | 271 | 3423 | 8% | 209 | 2853 | 7% | 1.09 | 0.91‐1.31 | |
Randomisation | ||||||||||
Adequate | 3882 | 303 | 2047 | 15% | 245 | 1835 | 13% | 1.17 | 0.99‐1.39 | 0.98 |
Unclear | 10051 | 562 | 5587 | 10% | 420 | 4464 | 9% | 1.17 | 1.03‐1.33 | |
Concealment of allocation | ||||||||||
Adequate | 10595 | 744 | 5839 | 13% | 559 | 4756 | 12% | 1.20 | 1.08‐1.34 | 0.23 |
Unclear | 3338 | 121 | 1795 | 7% | 106 | 1543 | 7% | 1.01 | 0.78‐1.31 | |
Endpoint survival | ||||||||||
Primary endpoint | 3116 | 247 | 1547 | 16% | 195 | 1569 | 12% | 1.30 | 1.08‐1.57 | 0.41 |
Secondary endpoint | 4313 | 213 | 2282 | 9% | 161 | 2031 | 8% | 1.10 | 0.89‐1.35 | |
Safety /adverse events | 6504 | 405 | 3805 | 11% | 309 | 2699 | 11% | 1.13 | 0.97‐1.32 | |
Year of last patient randomized | ||||||||||
1990‐1994 | 1447 | 95 | 890 | 11% | 67 | 557 | 12% | 0.95 | 0.69‐1.30 | 0.24 |
1995‐1999 | 1725 | 95 | 1001 | 9% | 70 | 724 | 10% | 0.96 | 0.70‐1.32 | |
2000‐2004 | 7620 | 431 | 4105 | 10% | 337 | 3515 | 10% | 1.26 | 1.10‐1.46 | |
2005‐2006 | 3141 | 244 | 1638 | 15% | 191 | 1503 | 13% | 1.18 | 0.98‐1.43 | |
Source of data | ||||||||||
Manufacturer | 12229 | 846 | 6789 | 12% | 641 | 5440 | 12% | 1.19 | 1.07‐1.32 | 0.13 |
Clinical study group | 1704 | 19 | 845 | 2% | 24 | 859 | 3% | 0.74 | 0.41‐1.35 | |
*P value for likelihood‐ratio test, patients with missing data are excluded from the test, analysis based on one‐stage Cox fixed‐effects model stratified by study ESA=erythropoiesis‐stimulating agents |