Overall survival in all cancer patients | ESA arm | Control arm | ESA versus control | |||||||
Subgroups | Patients | events | sample | % | events | sample | % | HR | 95% CI | P value* |
Patient level characteristics | ||||||||||
Hb at baseline | ||||||||||
Hb at baseline (continuous) | 0.75 | |||||||||
Hb at baseline (cat 1) | 0.63 | |||||||||
Hb ≤ 8 g/dL | 791 | 176 | 448 | 39% | 147 | 343 | 43% | 1.08 | 0.87‐1.35 | |
Hb 8‐≤10 g/dL | 3930 | 725 | 2222 | 33% | 672 | 1708 | 39% | 1.02 | 0.92‐1.14 | |
Hb 10‐≤12 g/dL | 5004 | 967 | 2851 | 34% | 777 | 2153 | 36% | 1.11 | 1.01‐1.22 | |
Hb 12‐≤14 g/dL | 2843 | 566 | 1433 | 39% | 553 | 1410 | 39% | 1.06 | 0.95‐1.20 | |
Hb >14 g/dL | 839 | 155 | 428 | 36% | 155 | 411 | 38% | 0.94 | 0.75‐1.18 | |
Unknown | 526 | 54 | 252 | 21% | 46 | 274 | 17% | 1.22 | 0.82‐1.82 | |
Hb at baseline (cat 2) | 0.83 | |||||||||
Hb ≤ 8 g/dL | 791 | 176 | 448 | 39% | 147 | 343 | 43% | 1.08 | 0.87‐1.35 | |
Hb 8‐≤9 g/dL | 1319 | 256 | 742 | 35% | 252 | 577 | 44% | 1.05 | 0.88‐1.25 | |
Hb 9‐≤10 g/dL | 2611 | 469 | 1480 | 32% | 420 | 1131 | 37% | 1.02 | 0.89‐1.16 | |
Hb 10‐≤11 g/dL | 2927 | 542 | 1699 | 32% | 414 | 1228 | 34% | 1.16 | 1.02‐1.32 | |
Hb 11‐≤12 g/dL | 2077 | 425 | 1152 | 37% | 363 | 925 | 39% | 1.06 | 0.92‐1.22 | |
Hb 12‐≤13 g/dL | 1739 | 377 | 873 | 43% | 371 | 866 | 43% | 1.04 | 0.90‐1.20 | |
Hb 13‐≤14 g/dL | 1104 | 189 | 560 | 34% | 182 | 544 | 33% | 1.12 | 0.91‐1.37 | |
Hb >14 g/dL | 839 | 155 | 428 | 36% | 155 | 411 | 38% | 0.94 | 0.75‐1.18 | |
Unknown | 526 | 54 | 252 | 21% | 46 | 274 | 17% | 1.23 | 0.83‐1.83 | |
Malignancy type | ||||||||||
Tumour (cat. 1) | 0.23 | |||||||||
Haematological malignancies | 2403 | 378 | 1400 | 27% | 286 | 1003 | 29% | 1.19 | 1.02‐1.39 | |
Solid tumours | 10795 | 2103 | 5848 | 36% | 1916 | 4947 | 39% | 1.04 | 0.98‐1.11 | |
Other | 693 | 158 | 369 | 43% | 145 | 324 | 45% | 0.99 | 0.82‐1.20 | |
Missing / unknown | 42 | 4 | 17 | 24% | 3 | 25 | 12% | 2.14 | 0.48‐9.62 | |
Tumour (cat. 2) | 0.21 | |||||||||
Haematological malignancies | 2403 | 378 | 1400 | 27% | 286 | 1003 | 29% | 1.18 | 1.01‐1.38 | |
Breast cancer | 4302 | 563 | 2245 | 25% | 481 | 2057 | 23% | 1.13 | 1.00‐1.28 | |
Head and neck cancer | 868 | 235 | 443 | 53% | 208 | 425 | 49% | 1.14 | 0.91‐1.42 | |
Lung cancer | 3076 | 986 | 1618 | 61% | 975 | 1458 | 67% | 0.98 | 0.89‐1.07 | |
Gastrointestinal cancer | 708 | 124 | 434 | 29% | 103 | 274 | 38% | 0.89 | 0.68‐1.16 | |
Gynaecological cancer | 1399 | 115 | 842 | 14% | 87 | 557 | 16% | 1.13 | 0.85‐1.50 | |
Genitourinal cancer | 442 | 80 | 266 | 30% | 62 | 176 | 35% | 1.24 | 0.89‐1.73 | |
Other | 693 | 158 | 369 | 43% | 145 | 324 | 45% | 0.99 | 0.82‐1.20 | |
Missing / unknown | 42 | 4 | 17 | 24% | 3 | 25 | 12% | 2.12 | 0.47‐9.50 | |
Sex | ||||||||||
Male | 5136 | 1323 | 2854 | 46% | 1193 | 2282 | 52% | 1.01 | 0.94‐1.10 | 0.15 |
Female | 8797 | 1320 | 4780 | 28% | 1157 | 4017 | 29% | 1.10 | 1.02‐1.19 | |
Age | ||||||||||
Age continuous | 0.38 | |||||||||
Age categorical | 0.26 | |||||||||
< 18 years | 123 | 0 | 55 | 0% | 1 | 68 | 1% | Not estimable | Not estimable | |
≥18‐35 years | 346 | 37 | 191 | 19% | 27 | 155 | 17% | 0.89 | 0.54‐1.46 | |
≥35‐45 years | 1343 | 196 | 745 | 26% | 147 | 598 | 25% | 1.02 | 0.82‐1.26 | |
≥45‐55 years | 3010 | 536 | 1614 | 33% | 439 | 1396 | 31% | 1.16 | 1.03‐1.32 | |
≥55‐65 years | 4193 | 818 | 2237 | 37% | 793 | 1956 | 41% | 1.01 | 0.91‐1.11 | |
≥65‐75 years | 3517 | 780 | 1970 | 40% | 711 | 1547 | 46% | 1.04 | 0.94‐1.15 | |
≥75 years | 1389 | 276 | 816 | 34% | 231 | 573 | 40% | 1.20 | 1.00‐1.43 | |
Missing | 12 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 1 | 6 | 17% | Not estimable | Not estimable | |
Hct levels at baseline | ||||||||||
Hct continuous | 0.90 | |||||||||
Hct categorical | 0.03 | |||||||||
≤ 23.5% | 390 | 82 | 210 | 39% | 55 | 180 | 31% | 1.66 | 1.18‐2.34 | |
23.5‐≤ 29.4% | 2788 | 476 | 1567 | 30% | 479 | 1221 | 39% | 0.94 | 0.83‐1.07 | |
29.4‐≤ 35.3% | 4615 | 945 | 2692 | 35% | 732 | 1923 | 38% | 1.10 | 0.99‐1.21 | |
35.3‐≤ 41.2% | 2458 | 579 | 1258 | 46% | 558 | 1200 | 47% | 1.07 | 0.95‐1.21 | |
> 41.2% | 785 | 169 | 414 | 41% | 165 | 371 | 44% | 1.02 | 0.82‐1.26 | |
Missing / unknown | 2897 | 392 | 1493 | 26% | 361 | 1404 | 26% | 1.08 | 0.93‐1.24 | |
Serum Epo at baseline | ||||||||||
Serum Epo continuous | 0.14 | |||||||||
Serum Epo categorical | 0.81 | |||||||||
< 25 mU/ml | 1497 | 341 | 876 | 39% | 309 | 621 | 50% | 0.97 | 0.84‐1.14 | |
25‐100 mU/ml | 2908 | 586 | 1643 | 36% | 548 | 1265 | 43% | 1.02 | 0.90‐1.14 | |
100‐200 mU/ml | 740 | 187 | 451 | 41% | 130 | 289 | 45% | 1.10 | 0.88‐1.38 | |
200‐500 mU/ml | 325 | 60 | 190 | 32% | 51 | 135 | 38% | 1.18 | 0.81‐1.72 | |
> 500 mU/ml | 181 | 31 | 103 | 30% | 22 | 78 | 28% | 1.08 | 0.63‐1.88 | |
Unknown | 8282 | 1438 | 4371 | 33% | 1290 | 3911 | 33% | 1.09 | 1.01‐1.17 | |
Performance score | ||||||||||
ECOG categorical | 0.41 | |||||||||
ECOG 0 | 3392 | 351 | 1808 | 19% | 341 | 1584 | 22% | 1.06 | 0.91‐1.23 | |
ECOG 1 | 4900 | 984 | 2779 | 35% | 814 | 2121 | 38% | 1.09 | 0.99‐1.20 | |
ECOG 2 | 1678 | 490 | 933 | 53% | 433 | 745 | 58% | 1.01 | 0.89‐1.15 | |
ECOG 3 | 139 | 48 | 77 | 62% | 35 | 62 | 56% | 1.18 | 0.76‐1.82 | |
ECOG 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 0% | Not estimable | Not estimable | |
ECOG missing | 3821 | 768 | 2035 | 38% | 727 | 1786 | 41% | 1.02 | 0.93‐1.14 | |
ECOG dichotomous | 0.50 | |||||||||
ECOG 0, 1, 2 | 10083 | 1847 | 5578 | 33% | 1604 | 4505 | 36% | 1.08 | 1.01‐1.15 | |
ECOG 3, 4 | 142 | 50 | 79 | 63% | 35 | 63 | 56% | 1.25 | 0.81‐1.93 | |
ECOG missing | 3708 | 746 | 1977 | 38% | 711 | 1731 | 41% | 1.02 | 0.92‐1.13 | |
Body mass index | ||||||||||
≤ 19 kg/m² | 865 | 187 | 424 | 44% | 195 | 441 | 44% | 0.95 | 0.78‐1.17 | 0.72 |
19‐≤ 25 kg/m² | 5487 | 1098 | 2964 | 37% | 945 | 2523 | 37% | 1.06 | 0.97‐1.15 | |
25‐≤ 30 kg/m² | 3443 | 642 | 1864 | 34% | 543 | 1579 | 34% | 1.09 | 0.97‐1.22 | |
> 30 kg/m² | 1650 | 250 | 867 | 29% | 224 | 783 | 29% | 1.03 | 0.86‐1.24 | |
Missing | 2488 | 466 | 1515 | 31% | 443 | 973 | 46% | 1.10 | 0.97‐1.26 | |
History of thromboembolic events | ||||||||||
Yes | 561 | 128 | 318 | 40% | 107 | 243 | 44% | 1.03 | 0.80‐1.33 | 0.90 |
No | 9059 | 1720 | 5044 | 34% | 1509 | 4015 | 38% | 1.05 | 0.98‐1.12 | |
Missing / not reported | 4313 | 795 | 2272 | 35% | 734 | 2041 | 36% | 1.08 | 0.98‐1.20 | |
History of cardiovascular events | ||||||||||
Yes | 3593 | 758 | 2002 | 38% | 648 | 1591 | 41% | 1.07 | 0.96‐1.19 | 0.69 |
No | 6729 | 1141 | 3700 | 31% | 1010 | 3029 | 33% | 1.04 | 0.96‐1.13 | |
Missing / not reported | 3611 | 744 | 1932 | 39% | 692 | 1679 | 41% | 1.07 | 0.97‐1.19 | |
History of hypertension | ||||||||||
Yes | 2093 | 420 | 1219 | 34% | 373 | 874 | 43% | 1.01 | 0.88‐1.16 | 0.57 |
No | 7527 | 1428 | 4143 | 34% | 1243 | 3384 | 37% | 1.06 | 0.98‐1.14 | |
Missing / not reported | 4313 | 795 | 2272 | 35% | 734 | 2041 | 36% | 1.08 | 0.98‐1.20 | |
History of diabetes mellitus | ||||||||||
Yes | 709 | 163 | 372 | 44% | 158 | 337 | 47% | 1.05 | 0.84‐1.31 | 0.94 |
No | 7316 | 1456 | 3927 | 37% | 1250 | 3389 | 37% | 1.06 | 0.98‐1.14 | |
Missing / not reported | 5908 | 1024 | 3335 | 31% | 942 | 2573 | 37% | 1.06 | 0.97‐1.16 | |
Geographical region | ||||||||||
Northern America | 3569 | 490 | 2004 | 24% | 470 | 1565 | 30% | 1.11 | 0.98‐1.27 | 0.90 |
Northern, Western & Southern Europe | 7440 | 1529 | 4030 | 38% | 1322 | 3410 | 39% | 1.05 | 0.98‐1.13 | |
Eastern Europe | 1955 | 514 | 1030 | 50% | 469 | 925 | 51% | 1.03 | 0.91‐1.17 | |
Australia & New Zealand | 342 | 40 | 216 | 19% | 28 | 126 | 22% | 1.08 | 0.66‐1.75 | |
Other | 226 | 48 | 123 | 39% | 46 | 103 | 45% | 0.95 | 0.63‐1.43 | |
Missing / not reported | 401 | 22 | 231 | 10% | 15 | 170 | 9% | 1.47 | 0.75‐2.89 | |
Tumour stage | ||||||||||
Metastatic / advanced | 8113 | 1918 | 4482 | 43% | 1698 | 3631 | 47% | 1.05 | 0.98‐1.12 | 0.86 |
Not metastatic / not advanced | 4039 | 420 | 2116 | 20% | 408 | 1923 | 21% | 1.06 | 0.93‐1.22 | |
Missing / not reported | 1781 | 305 | 1036 | 29% | 244 | 745 | 33% | 1.04 | 0.87‐1.23 | |
Planned Hb ceiling | ||||||||||
Planned Hb ceiling (cat 1) | 0.40 | |||||||||
≤Hb 13.0 g/dL | 3043 | 437 | 1624 | 27% | 399 | 1419 | 28% | 1.09 | 0.95‐1.25 | |
Hb 13.0 ‐ ≤15.0 g/dL | 10193 | 2019 | 5631 | 36% | 1782 | 4562 | 39% | 1.04 | 0.97‐1.11 | |
Hb >15.0 g/dL | 494 | 159 | 259 | 61% | 152 | 235 | 65% | 1.21 | 0.97‐1.51 | |
Other | 203 | 28 | 120 | 23% | 17 | 83 | 20% | 1.13 | 0.61‐2.07 | |
Planned Hb ceiling (cat 2) | 0.60 | |||||||||
≤Hb 13.0 g/dL | 3043 | 437 | 1624 | 27% | 399 | 1419 | 28% | 1.09 | 0.95‐1.25 | |
Hb 13.0 – ≤14.0 g/dL | 6816 | 1142 | 3733 | 31% | 1013 | 3083 | 33% | 1.03 | 0.95‐1.13 | |
Hb 14.0 – ≤15.0 g/dL | 3377 | 877 | 1898 | 46% | 769 | 1479 | 52% | 1.05 | 0.95‐1.15 | |
>Hb 15.0 g/dL | 494 | 159 | 259 | 61% | 152 | 235 | 65% | 1.21 | 0.97‐1.51 | |
Other | 203 | 28 | 120 | 23% | 17 | 83 | 20% | 1.13 | 0.61‐2.07 | |
Study level characteristics | ||||||||||
Treatment population | ||||||||||
Treatment population | ||||||||||
Chemotherapy | 10441 | 1888 | 5676 | 33% | 1667 | 4765 | 35% | 1.04 | 0.97‐1.11 | 0.11 |
Radiochemotherapy | 737 | 204 | 368 | 55% | 211 | 369 | 57% | 0.91 | 0.75‐1.10 | |
Radiotherapy | 799 | 220 | 408 | 54% | 196 | 391 | 50% | 1.17 | 0.96‐1.42 | |
Mixed | 266 | 17 | 175 | 10% | 7 | 91 | 8% | 1.53 | 0.63‐3.69 | |
None | 1690 | 314 | 1007 | 31% | 269 | 683 | 39% | 1.22 | 1.04‐1.44 | |
Treatment population | ||||||||||
Chemotherapy | 10441 | 1888 | 5676 | 33% | 1667 | 4765 | 35% | 1.04 | 0.97‐1.11 | 0.25 |
Radiotherapy / radiochemotherapy | 1536 | 424 | 776 | 55% | 407 | 760 | 54% | 1.03 | 0.90‐1.18 | |
Mixed | 266 | 17 | 175 | 10% | 7 | 91 | 8% | 1.53 | 0.63‐3.69 | |
None | 1690 | 314 | 1007 | 31% | 269 | 683 | 39% | 1.22 | 1.04‐1.44 | |
Iron supplementation | ||||||||||
Fixed iron supplementation | 2589 | 468 | 1293 | 36% | 467 | 1296 | 36% | 1.00 | 0.87‐1.13 | 0.48 |
Iron supplementation as needed | 11120 | 2075 | 6232 | 33% | 1782 | 4888 | 36% | 1.07 | 1.00‐1.14 | |
Other | 224 | 100 | 109 | 92% | 101 | 115 | 88% | 1.17 | 0.89‐1.55 | |
Planned ESA treatment duration | ||||||||||
Up to 8 weeks | 415 | 55 | 256 | 21% | 47 | 159 | 30% | 1.09 | 0.74‐1.62 | 0.74 |
9‐16 weeks | 4800 | 667 | 2738 | 24% | 644 | 2062 | 31% | 1.02 | 0.91‐1.14 | |
> 17 weeks | 3269 | 816 | 1701 | 48% | 747 | 1568 | 48% | 1.11 | 1.00‐1.22 | |
Until end of chemo‐ or radiotherapy | 5449 | 1105 | 2939 | 38% | 912 | 2510 | 36% | 1.05 | 0.96‐1.14 | |
Planned weekly ESA dosage | ||||||||||
< 100 µg Darbepoetin or < 40000 IU Epoetin | 4197 | 832 | 2297 | 36% | 669 | 1900 | 35% | 1.04 | 0.94‐1.15 | 0.88 |
= 100 µg Darbepoetin or = 40000 IU Epoetin | 3081 | 557 | 1545 | 36% | 536 | 1536 | 35% | 1.08 | 0.96‐1.22 | |
> 100 µg Darbepoetin or > 40000 IU Epoetin | 3845 | 876 | 2076 | 42% | 808 | 1769 | 46% | 1.08 | 0.98‐1.19 | |
Other | 2810 | 378 | 1716 | 22% | 337 | 1094 | 31% | 1.02 | 0.88‐1.18 | |
Planned frequency of ESA application | ||||||||||
Three times per week or more frequent | 6131 | 1067 | 3458 | 31% | 840 | 2673 | 31% | 1.07 | 0.98‐1.18 | 0.07 |
Once per week | 3948 | 911 | 1972 | 46% | 886 | 1976 | 45% | 1.06 | 0.97‐1.17 | |
Every second week or less frequent | 3036 | 347 | 1795 | 19% | 286 | 1241 | 23% | 1.20 | 1.02‐1.40 | |
Other | 818 | 318 | 409 | 78% | 338 | 409 | 83% | 0.90 | 0.77‐1.05 | |
Placebo controlled trial | ||||||||||
Yes | 7657 | 1578 | 4211 | 37% | 1403 | 3446 | 41% | 1.09 | 1.01‐1.17 | 0.29 |
No | 6276 | 1065 | 3423 | 31% | 947 | 2853 | 33% | 1.02 | 0.93‐1.12 | |
Randomisation | ||||||||||
Adequate | 3882 | 739 | 2047 | 36% | 636 | 1835 | 35% | 1.07 | 0.96‐1.19 | 0.80 |
Unclear | 10051 | 1904 | 5587 | 34% | 1714 | 4464 | 38% | 1.05 | 0.99‐1.13 | |
Concealment of allocation | ||||||||||
Adequate | 10595 | 2176 | 5839 | 37% | 1901 | 4756 | 40% | 1.07 | 1.00‐1.14 | 0.49 |
Unclear | 3338 | 467 | 1795 | 26% | 449 | 1543 | 29% | 1.02 | 0.89‐1.16 | |
Endpoint survival | ||||||||||
Primary endpoint | 3116 | 732 | 1547 | 47% | 715 | 1569 | 46% | 1.02 | 0.92‐1.13 | 0.39 |
Secondary endpoint | 4313 | 1164 | 2282 | 51% | 985 | 2031 | 48% | 1.04 | 0.96‐1.14 | |
Safety /adverse events | 6504 | 747 | 3805 | 20% | 650 | 2699 | 24% | 1.13 | 1.01‐1.25 | |
Designed for long‐term follow‐up | ||||||||||
Yes | 8974 | 2213 | 4619 | 48% | 1972 | 4355 | 45% | 1.06 | 1.00‐1.13 | 0.64 |
No | 4959 | 430 | 3015 | 14% | 378 | 1944 | 19% | 1.03 | 0.89‐1.18 | |
Year of last patient randomized | ||||||||||
1990‐1994 | 1447 | 100 | 890 | 11% | 70 | 557 | 13% | 0.96 | 0.70‐1.31 | 0.13 |
1995‐1999 | 1725 | 312 | 1001 | 31% | 224 | 724 | 31% | 0.97 | 0.81‐1.16 | |
2000‐2004 | 7620 | 1453 | 4105 | 35% | 1296 | 3515 | 37% | 1.13 | 1.04‐1.21 | |
2005‐2006 | 3141 | 778 | 1638 | 47% | 760 | 1503 | 51% | 0.99 | 0.89‐1.09 | |
Source of data | ||||||||||
Manufacturer | 12229 | 2434 | 6789 | 36% | 2151 | 5440 | 40% | 1.06 | 1.00‐1.13 | 0.57 |
Clinical study group | 1704 | 209 | 845 | 25% | 199 | 859 | 23% | 1.00 | 0.83‐1.22 | |
*P value for likelihood‐ratio test (test for interaction), patients with missing data are excluded from this test, analysis based on one‐stage Cox fixed‐effects model stratified by study ESA= erythropoiesis‐stimulating agents |