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. 2020 May 5;7:243. doi: 10.3389/fvets.2020.00243

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Copyright © 2020 Calzolari, Angelini, Bolzoni, Bonilauri, Cagarelli, Canziani, Cereda, Cerioli, Chiari, Galletti, Moirano, Tamba, Torri, Trogu, Albieri, Bellini and Lelli.

This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

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Probability of observing a WNV-positive trap as a function of the number of mosquitoes per trap in Lombardy (A) and Emilia-Romagna (C) estimated through observed data (black solid lines: best fit, dashed lines: 95% confidence interval) compared with the null model (white lines: median, gray areas: 95% interval). (B) distribution of the marginal increase in the probability to observe a WNV-positive trap due to an additionally caught mosquito obtained with the null model (M_NULL, gray bars) compared to M_OBS (black line).