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. 2020 Apr 28;3:1516. Originally published 2019 Aug 14. [Version 2] doi: 10.12688/gatesopenres.13051.2

Table 2. Impact of cigarette price increase on quitting, deaths averted and life-years gained in Vietnam.

Variables by
income groups
Scenario A:
32% price
increase *
Scenario B:
62% price
increase
Number of male smokers aged ≥15 years
before price increase (in millions)
  First (bottom 20%) 2.2
  Second 3.0
  Third 3.0
  Fourth 1.9
  Fifth (top 20%) 1.9
  Total 12.1
  First: fifth ratio 1.2
Number of men who quit smoking after tax
increase (in thousands)
  First (bottom 20%) 376.6 729.7
  Second 433.7 840.3
  Third 358.3 694.1
  Fourth 183.5 355.6
  Fifth (top 20%) 132.9 257.5
  Total 1,485.0 2,877.2
  First: fifth ratio 2.8 2.8
Total deaths averted due to COPD, stroke,
heart disease, and cancer (in thousands)
  First (bottom 20%) 159.7 309.4
  Second 183.9 356.2
  Third 151.9 294.3
  Fourth 77.8 150.7
  Fifth (top 20%) 56.3 109.2
  Total 629.6 1,219.8
  First: fifth ratio 2.8 2.8
Total life-years gained (in millions)
  First (bottom 20%) 2.8 5.4
  Second 3.2 6.2
  Third 2.6 5.1
  Fourth 1.4 2.6
  Fifth (top 20%) 1.0 1.9
  Total 10.1 21.3
  First: fifth ratio 2.8 2.8

*Scenario A- Increase in ad valorem tax from the current 75% to 90% plus an introduction of a specific tax at VND3,000 per pack (equivalent to 32% increase in retail price).

Scenario B- Increase in ad valorem tax from the current 75% to 120% plus an introduction of a specific tax at VND5,000 per pack (equivalent to 62% increase in retail price).

Price elasticity used, by income group: First -0.85, second/third/fourth -0.53, fifth -0.35.