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. 2020 Apr 28;3:1516. Originally published 2019 Aug 14. [Version 2] doi: 10.12688/gatesopenres.13051.2

Table 3. Impact of cigarette price increase in Vietnam under Scenario A and Scenario B on treatment cost averted, number of men avoiding catastrophic health expenditures and extreme poverty, and additional tax revenue collected in Vietnam.

Variables by
income groups
Scenario A:
32% price
increase *
Scenario B:
62% price
increase
Treatment cost averted (in LCU, billions ($Int,
millions))
  First (bottom 20%) 2,346 (304) 4,545 (589)
  Second 2,901 (376) 5,618 (728)
  Third 2,323 (301) 4,506 (584)
  Fourth 1,227 (159) 2,377 (308)
  Fifth (top 20%) 949 (123) 1,837 (238)
  Total 9,746 (1,263) 18,882 (2,447)
  First: fifth ratio 2.5 2.5
Number of men avoiding catastrophic health
expenditures (in thousands)
  First (bottom 20%) 72.6 140.7
  Second 89.7 173.8
  Third 72.0 139.4
  Fourth 38.0 73.6
  Fifth (top 20%) 12.9 25.0
  Total 285.2 552.5
  First: fifth ratio 5.6 5.6
Number of men avoiding extreme poverty
  First (bottom 20%) 72,621 140,704
  Second 12,124 23,491
  Third 9,734 18,841
  Fourth 0 0
  Fifth (top 20%) 0 0
  Total 94,479 183,036
  First: fifth ratio - -
Additional tax revenues (in LCU, billions ($Int,
millions))
  First (bottom 20%) 1,737 (225) 827 (107)
  Second 2,780 (360) 2,444 (317)
  Third 3,059 (396) 3,556 (461)
  Fourth 2,149 (279) 2,955 (383)
  Fifth (top 20%) 2,039 (264) 3,137 (406)
  Total 11,764 (1,525) 12,918 (1,674)
  First: fifth ratio 0.85 0.26

*Scenario A- Increase in ad valorem tax from the current 75% to 90% plus an introduction of a specific tax at VND3,000 per pack (equivalent to 32% increase in retail price).

Scenario B- Increase in ad valorem tax from the current 75% to 120% plus an introduction of a specific tax at VND5,000 per pack (equivalent to 62% increase in retail price).

Price elasticity used, by income group: First -0.85, second/third/fourth -0.53, fifth -0.35.