Table 3. Impact of cigarette price increase in Vietnam under Scenario A and Scenario B on treatment cost averted, number of men avoiding catastrophic health expenditures and extreme poverty, and additional tax revenue collected in Vietnam.
Variables by
income groups |
Scenario A:
32% price increase * ‡ |
Scenario B:
62% price increase †‡ |
---|---|---|
Treatment cost averted (in LCU, billions ($Int,
millions)) | ||
First (bottom 20%) | 2,346 (304) | 4,545 (589) |
Second | 2,901 (376) | 5,618 (728) |
Third | 2,323 (301) | 4,506 (584) |
Fourth | 1,227 (159) | 2,377 (308) |
Fifth (top 20%) | 949 (123) | 1,837 (238) |
Total | 9,746 (1,263) | 18,882 (2,447) |
First: fifth ratio | 2.5 | 2.5 |
Number of men avoiding catastrophic health
expenditures (in thousands) | ||
First (bottom 20%) | 72.6 | 140.7 |
Second | 89.7 | 173.8 |
Third | 72.0 | 139.4 |
Fourth | 38.0 | 73.6 |
Fifth (top 20%) | 12.9 | 25.0 |
Total | 285.2 | 552.5 |
First: fifth ratio | 5.6 | 5.6 |
Number of men avoiding extreme poverty | ||
First (bottom 20%) | 72,621 | 140,704 |
Second | 12,124 | 23,491 |
Third | 9,734 | 18,841 |
Fourth | 0 | 0 |
Fifth (top 20%) | 0 | 0 |
Total | 94,479 | 183,036 |
First: fifth ratio | - | - |
Additional tax revenues (in LCU, billions ($Int,
millions)) | ||
First (bottom 20%) | 1,737 (225) | 827 (107) |
Second | 2,780 (360) | 2,444 (317) |
Third | 3,059 (396) | 3,556 (461) |
Fourth | 2,149 (279) | 2,955 (383) |
Fifth (top 20%) | 2,039 (264) | 3,137 (406) |
Total | 11,764 (1,525) | 12,918 (1,674) |
First: fifth ratio | 0.85 | 0.26 |
*Scenario A- Increase in ad valorem tax from the current 75% to 90% plus an introduction of a specific tax at VND3,000 per pack (equivalent to 32% increase in retail price).
†Scenario B- Increase in ad valorem tax from the current 75% to 120% plus an introduction of a specific tax at VND5,000 per pack (equivalent to 62% increase in retail price).
‡ Price elasticity used, by income group: First -0.85, second/third/fourth -0.53, fifth -0.35.