Table 4. Cumulative impact of a 50% cigarette price increase in Vietnam and Indonesia (from GTEC, 2018) 5.
| Vietnam § | Indonesia § | |
|---|---|---|
|
Number of male smokers aged ≥15 years before
price increase (in millions) | ||
| First (bottom 20%) | 3.7 | 13.6 |
| Second | 3.3 | 12.0 |
| Third | 2.6 | 9.8 |
| Fourth | 2.6 | 9.7 |
| Fifth (top 20%) | 2.2 | 7.7 |
| Total | 13.2 ¶ | 52.9 |
| First: fifth ratio | 1.5 | 1.8 |
|
Number of men who quit smoking after price
increase (in thousands) | ||
| First (bottom 20%) | 785.8 | 3,255.5 |
| Second | 569.6 | 2,292.4 |
| Third | 336.1 | 1,406.3 |
| Fourth | 214.9 | 915.4 |
| Fifth (top 20%) | 99.8 | 357.4 |
| Total | 2,006.1 | 8,227.0 |
| First: fifth ratio | 7.9 | 9.1 |
|
Total deaths averted due to COPD, stroke, heart
disease, and cancer (in thousands) | ||
| First (bottom 20%) | 341.6 | 1,418 |
| Second | 259.1 | 998 |
| Third | 179.0 | 612 |
| Fourth | 112.9 | 399 |
| Fifth (top 20%) | 49.4 | 156 |
| Total | 941.9 | 3,582 |
| First: fifth ratio | 6.9 | 9.1 |
| Total life-years gained (in millions) | ||
| First (bottom 20%) | 5.6 | 22.5 |
| Second | 4.1 | 15.8 |
| Third | 2.4 | 9.7 |
| Fourth | 1.5 | 6.3 |
| Fifth (top 20%) | 0.7 | 2.5 |
| Total | 14.3 | 56.8 |
| First: fifth ratio | 7.9 | 9.1 |
|
Treatment cost averted (in LCU, billions ($Int,
millions)) | ||
| First (bottom 20%) | 2,284 (296) | 19,776 (4,120) |
| Second | 1,798 (233) | 15,456 (3,220) |
| Third | 1,536 (199) | 13,296 (2,770) |
| Fourth | 910 (118) | 10,512 (2,190) |
| Fifth (top 20%) | 564 (73) | 5,040 (1,050) |
| Total | 7,092 (919) | 60,080(13,350) |
| First: fifth ratio | 4.0 | 3.9 |
|
Number of men avoiding catastrophic health
expenditures (in thousands) | ||
| First (bottom 20%) | 112.6 | 637.9 |
| Second | 88.6 | 499.1 |
| Third | 75.7 | 428.6 |
| Fourth | 44.9 | 338.8 |
| Fifth (top 20%) | 27.7 | 163.4 |
| Total | 349.6 | 2,067.9 |
| First: fifth ratio | 4.1 | 3.9 |
| Number of men avoiding extreme poverty | ||
| First (bottom 20%) | 107,418 | 594,663 |
| Second | 77,294 | 499,090 |
| Third | 14,323 | 426,300 |
| Fourth | 3,790 | 84,068 |
| Fifth (top 20%) | 203 | 20,110 |
| Total | 203,028 | 1,624,2231 |
| First: fifth ratio | 529.1 | 29.6 |
|
Additional tax revenues (in LCU, billions ($Int,
millions)) | ||
| First (bottom 20%) | 4,213 (546) | 323 (67) |
| Second | 3,464 (449) | 806 (168) |
| Third | 3,395 (440) | 1,181 (246) |
| Fourth | 3,935 (510) | 1,661 (346) |
| Fifth (top 20%) | 3,734 (484) | 2,155 (449) |
| Total | 18,743 (2,429) | 6127 (1,280) |
| First: fifth ratio | 1.1 | 0.2 |
§Price elasticity used, by income group: First -0.635, second/third/fourth -0.4, fifth -0.122.
¶Number of male smokers aged ≥15 years in Vietnam is higher in the GTEC analysis than in our current analysis because the GTEC analysis used the male smoking prevalence in 2010 which is higher than the prevalence in 2015 used in our current analysis (overall male smoking prevalence: 39.1% vs 36.1%).