Table 4.

Model fit characteristics for multi-trajectory model analysis in girls of the MATCH study

Trajectory group	n	Estimated (%, 95 CI)	Assigned (%)	APP (%)	OCC	BIC (n = 15,694)	BIC (n = 491)
2-group model						− 7491.93	− 7459.01
1	148	29.4 (25.4–33.4)	29.0	93.6	14.6
2	362	70.6 (66.6–74.6)	71.0	97.0	32.3
3-group model						− 7225.88	− 7175.65
1	314	60.1 (55.8–64.4)	61.6	94.6	35.6
2	114	22.4 (18.8–26.0)	22.5	91.7	22.4
3	82	16.1 (12.9–19.3)	16.0	92.9	26.6
4-group model						− 7131.09	− 7063.53
1	66	14.6 (11.5–17.7)	12.9	87.7	21.4
2	293	54.8 (50.5–59.1)	57.5	91.5	32.3
3	108	21.9 (18.3–25.5)	21.2	89.7	26.1
4	43	8.7 (6.3–11.1)	8.4	93.0	39.3
5-group model						− 7083.56	− 6998.68
1	203	37.2 (33.0–41.4)	39.8	86.4	25.4
2	148	30.2 (26.2–34.2)	29.0	85.0	22.7
3	47	9.5 (7.0–12.0)	9.2	89.5	34.1
4	68	14.3 (11.3–17.3)	13.3	86.5	25.6
5	44	8.7 (6.3–11.1)	8.6	91.5	43.1
6-group model						− 7081.03	− 6978.82
1	209	36.1 (31.9–40.3)	41.0	82.4	23.4
2	44	10.7 (8.0–13.4)	8.6	73.2	13.6
3	110	22.4 (18.8–26.0)	21.6	82.2	23.0
4	71	15.1 (12.0–18.2)	13.9	87.1	33.7
5	32	7.0 (4.8–9.2)	6.3	90.9	49.8
6	44	8.7 (6.3–11.1)	8.6	91.5	53.7
Final modela						− 7154.16	− 7105.65
Non-compliers	228	42.5 (38.2–46.8)	44.7	88.8	23.8
Decliners	85	18.5 (15.1–21.9)	16.7	86.3	18.9
Compliers	44	9.0 (6.5–11.5)	8.6	94.0	47.0
Screen-Compliers	153	30.0 (26.0–34.0)	30.0	89.0	24.3

Abbreviations: APP Average posterior probability of classification, OCC Odds of correct classification, BIC Bayesian information criterion

^aVariations between the distribution of participants in trajectory group results and final model results to facilitate trajectory group presentation