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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2021 May 12.
Published in final edited form as: Circulation. 2020 Apr 1;141(19):1541–1553. doi: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.119.045010

Table 3.

Number needed to treat with aspirin during 5 years to prevent one CVD event.

Observed events at 5 years Aspirin (assuming 12% RRR)
Number Incidence (%) Incidence (%) ARR (%) NNT
Overall
 All 60 1.75 1.54 0.21 476
 CAC=0 15 0.70 0.62 0.08 1,190
 CAC 1–99 19 2.28 2.01 0.27 365
 CAC≥100 26 5.94 5.23 0.71 140
 CAC≥400 12 8.33 7.33 1.00 100
ASCVD Risk <5%
 All 9 0.54 0.48 0.06 1,543
 CAC=0 4 0.30 0.26 0.04 2,778
 CAC 1–99 3 1.08 0.95 0.13 772
 CAC≥100 2 2.78 2.45 0.33 300
 CAC≥400 1 8.33 7.33 1.00 100
ASCVD Risk 5–20%
 All 44 2.85 2.51 0.34 292
 CAC=0 10 1.31 1.15 0.16 636
 CAC 1–99 15 3.04 2.68 0.36 274
 CAC≥100 19 6.70 5.90 0.80 124
 CAC≥400 8 8.60 7.57 1.03 97
ASCVD Risk >20%
 All 7 3.32 2.92 0.40 251
 CAC=0 1 1.54 1.36 0.18 541
 CAC 1–99 1 1.67 1.47 0.20 499
 CAC≥100 5 6.14 5.40 0.74 136
 CAC≥400 3 7.77 6.84 0.93 107

Results presented as number or %. Follow-up was censored at 5 years. The 10-year ASCVD risk was estimated using the Pooled Cohort Equations.

Abbreviations: ARR = Absolute Risk Reduction; ASCVD = atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease events; CAC = coronary artery calcium; CVD = cardiovascular disease; NNT = number needed to treat; RRR = relative risk reduction